Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 27°C high in São Paulo today, reflecting the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under mostly sunny skies and easterly winds of 10-15 km/h moderating peak heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 26-27°C spread, driven by minor divergences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing amid stable high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 27°C, while any isolated convection might cap at 26°C. Real-time INMET observations from stations like Congonhas will clarify the peak around 2-4 p.m. local time, resolving market uncertainty near climatological April norms of 26.6°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日聖保羅的最高溫度?
4月15日聖保羅的最高溫度?
27°C 44%
26°C 36%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$31,328 交易量
$31,328 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 36%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$31,328 交易量
$31,328 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 27°C high in São Paulo today, reflecting the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under mostly sunny skies and easterly winds of 10-15 km/h moderating peak heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 26-27°C spread, driven by minor divergences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing amid stable high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 27°C, while any isolated convection might cap at 26°C. Real-time INMET observations from stations like Congonhas will clarify the peak around 2-4 p.m. local time, resolving market uncertainty near climatological April norms of 26.6°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions