The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C or below
$1,054 交易量
1%
27°C
$572 交易量
4%
28°C
$173 交易量
9%
29°C
$172 交易量
14%
30°C
$156 交易量
25%
31°C
$215 交易量
22%
32°C
$412 交易量
23%
33°C
$143 交易量
11%
34°C
$192 交易量
4%
35°C
$166 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$435 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$3,428結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,428結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions