Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 33°C (43%) and 32°C (39.5%) as the likely highest temperature at Taipei Songshan Airport Station today, driven by a week-long warm spell with observed highs of 31–33°C, including 33°C on April 11 and 31°C yesterday under clear skies. The Central Weather Administration forecasts a daytime peak of up to 31°C amid partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, but traders anticipate potential exceedance due to persistent high-pressure subsidence favoring solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, urban heat island effects in Taipei, and shower timing—clearer intervals could push toward 33°C, while increased cloud cover caps at 32°C. Hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
32°C 38%
33°C 27%
34°C 18.4%
35°C or higher 1.9%
最新
$74,801 交易量
最新
$74,801 交易量
2026-04-15
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
38%
33°C
27%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 27%
34°C 18.4%
35°C or higher 1.9%
最新
$74,801 交易量
最新
$74,801 交易量
2026-04-15
27°C
$7,295 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,133 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,666 交易量
<1%
30°C
$6,174 交易量
<1%
31°C
$7,563 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,379 交易量
38%
33°C
$5,234 交易量
27%
34°C
$8,415 交易量
18%
35°C or higher
$11,421 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 33°C (43%) and 32°C (39.5%) as the likely highest temperature at Taipei Songshan Airport Station today, driven by a week-long warm spell with observed highs of 31–33°C, including 33°C on April 11 and 31°C yesterday under clear skies. The Central Weather Administration forecasts a daytime peak of up to 31°C amid partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, but traders anticipate potential exceedance due to persistent high-pressure subsidence favoring solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, urban heat island effects in Taipei, and shower timing—clearer intervals could push toward 33°C, while increased cloud cover caps at 32°C. Hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$74,801結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 33°C (43%) and 32°C (39.5%) as the likely highest temperature at Taipei Songshan Airport Station today, driven by a week-long warm spell with observed highs of 31–33°C, including 33°C on April 11 and 31°C yesterday under clear skies. The Central Weather Administration forecasts a daytime peak of up to 31°C amid partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, but traders anticipate potential exceedance due to persistent high-pressure subsidence favoring solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, urban heat island effects in Taipei, and shower timing—clearer intervals could push toward 33°C, while increased cloud cover caps at 32°C. Hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$74,801結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 33°C (43%) and 32°C (39.5%) as the likely highest temperature at Taipei Songshan Airport Station today, driven by a week-long warm spell with observed highs of 31–33°C, including 33°C on April 11 and 31°C yesterday under clear skies. The Central Weather Administration forecasts a daytime peak of up to 31°C amid partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, but traders anticipate potential exceedance due to persistent high-pressure subsidence favoring solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, urban heat island effects in Taipei, and shower timing—clearer intervals could push toward 33°C, while increased cloud cover caps at 32°C. Hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions