Latest Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 16-17°C for London on April 16, driving trader consensus with 17°C at 39% implied probability amid light rain and cloudy skies. This follows an early April heat spike peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—one of the hottest April days in 80 years—before a frontal system ushered cooler Atlantic air, westerly winds, and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement on mild conditions, above the April historical average of 14°C but capped by showers. With resolution nearing via official observations at Heathrow or central stations, minor shifts remain possible from overnight clearing or timing of precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 38%
16°C 25%
18°C 22%
15°C 8.4%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
25%
17°C
38%
18°C
22%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 25%
18°C 22%
15°C 8.4%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
25%
17°C
38%
18°C
22%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 16-17°C for London on April 16, driving trader consensus with 17°C at 39% implied probability amid light rain and cloudy skies. This follows an early April heat spike peaking at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—one of the hottest April days in 80 years—before a frontal system ushered cooler Atlantic air, westerly winds, and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement on mild conditions, above the April historical average of 14°C but capped by showers. With resolution nearing via official observations at Heathrow or central stations, minor shifts remain possible from overnight clearing or timing of precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions