Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
25°C or higher 34%
24°C 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C or higher
34%
25°C or higher 34%
24°C 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
15°C or below
$437 交易量
1%
16°C
$195 交易量
1%
17°C
$203 交易量
2%
18°C
$205 交易量
2%
19°C
$183 交易量
3%
20°C
$219 交易量
3%
21°C
$298 交易量
7%
22°C
$282 交易量
8%
23°C
$180 交易量
17%
24°C
$317 交易量
35%
25°C or higher
$313 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$2,820結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,820結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including those aggregated by AccuWeather, project a maximum temperature near 23°C in Buenos Aires on April 16 under humid conditions with partial sun giving way to increasing clouds and potential evening showers, driving trader consensus toward a tight race among 23°C (28.5% implied probability), 24°C (38.5%), and 25°C or higher (32%). This clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs, where cloud cover timing and southerly wind influences could cap peaks at 23°C or allow brief insolation-driven spikes to 25°C amid the city's humid subtropical climate. Recent early-April heat records have faded with weakening high pressure, aligning with historical April 16 averages around 23°C; watch SMN updates and fresh model outputs on April 15 for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions