Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with 23°C leading at 33.5% implied probability amid forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local models projecting a midday peak of 23°C under overcast skies and passing showers. A developing cyclogenesis over the past 48 hours has introduced persistent low cloud cover, southerly winds up to 23 km/h, and light precipitation (0.1-0.3 mm/hour), suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling to cap highs at 22-24°C versus April climatological averages near 23°C. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting 24°C odds or heavier showers favoring 22°C; hourly observations from Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations through late afternoon will clarify resolution amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
23°C 36%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 15.5%
$45,413 交易量
$45,413 交易量
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
36%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 36%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 15.5%
$45,413 交易量
$45,413 交易量
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
36%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, with 23°C leading at 33.5% implied probability amid forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and local models projecting a midday peak of 23°C under overcast skies and passing showers. A developing cyclogenesis over the past 48 hours has introduced persistent low cloud cover, southerly winds up to 23 km/h, and light precipitation (0.1-0.3 mm/hour), suppressing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling to cap highs at 22-24°C versus April climatological averages near 23°C. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting 24°C odds or heavier showers favoring 22°C; hourly observations from Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations through late afternoon will clarify resolution amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions