Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Denver around 75°F tomorrow, with 76-77°F (32%) edging 74-75°F (28.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a developing upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. Recent National Weather Service updates show sunny skies and light winds conducive to above-normal highs—well beyond the 61°F April 16 climatological normal—but diverge slightly at 69°F, as ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs capture variability in morning cloud clearance and downslope flow strength. The narrow gap between leading bins stems from potential lingering stratocumulus decks suppressing peaks at 74-75°F versus fuller insolation driving 76-77°F; watch this afternoon's NWS forecast discussion and 00Z model refresh for shifts ahead of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 16?
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 14%
67°F or below 8.5%
67°F or below
8%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
4%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 14%
67°F or below 8.5%
67°F or below
8%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature in Denver around 75°F tomorrow, with 76-77°F (32%) edging 74-75°F (28.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a developing upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. Recent National Weather Service updates show sunny skies and light winds conducive to above-normal highs—well beyond the 61°F April 16 climatological normal—but diverge slightly at 69°F, as ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs capture variability in morning cloud clearance and downslope flow strength. The narrow gap between leading bins stems from potential lingering stratocumulus decks suppressing peaks at 74-75°F versus fuller insolation driving 76-77°F; watch this afternoon's NWS forecast discussion and 00Z model refresh for shifts ahead of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions