**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, but the case remains in early pretrial stages with a June 2027 trial date.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, were captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation in Caracas, transferred to New York, and arraigned on counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses; both pleaded not guilty. Defense counsel plans motions challenging the indictment on sovereign immunity grounds and contesting the legality of the capture, with initial filings due in September 2026 and arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege Maduro led a long-running conspiracy involving Venezuelan institutions, FARC elements, and other groups to traffic cocaine into the United States. The 85.5% implied probability on “No” (not guilty of all counts) reflects trader assessment of the extended timeline, substantial pretrial hurdles, potential for partial acquittals or plea resolutions, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in a complex, high-profile case. No verdict has been reached, and resolution depends on the final judgment after trial.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
15% 機率
$132,718 交易量
$132,718 交易量
2027-12-30
是
15% 機率
$132,718 交易量
$132,718 交易量
2027-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, but the case remains in early pretrial stages with a June 2027 trial date.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, were captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation in Caracas, transferred to New York, and arraigned on counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses; both pleaded not guilty.
Defense counsel plans motions challenging the indictment on sovereign immunity grounds and contesting the legality of the capture, with initial filings due in September 2026 and arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege Maduro led a long-running conspiracy involving Venezuelan institutions, FARC elements, and other groups to traffic cocaine into the United States.
The 85.5% implied probability on “No” (not guilty of all counts) reflects trader assessment of the extended timeline, substantial pretrial hurdles, potential for partial acquittals or plea resolutions, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in a complex, high-profile case. No verdict has been reached, and resolution depends on the final judgment after trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$132,718結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, but the case remains in early pretrial stages with a June 2027 trial date.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, were captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation in Caracas, transferred to New York, and arraigned on counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses; both pleaded not guilty.
Defense counsel plans motions challenging the indictment on sovereign immunity grounds and contesting the legality of the capture, with initial filings due in September 2026 and arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege Maduro led a long-running conspiracy involving Venezuelan institutions, FARC elements, and other groups to traffic cocaine into the United States.
The 85.5% implied probability on “No” (not guilty of all counts) reflects trader assessment of the extended timeline, substantial pretrial hurdles, potential for partial acquittals or plea resolutions, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in a complex, high-profile case. No verdict has been reached, and resolution depends on the final judgment after trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,718結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, but the case remains in early pretrial stages with a June 2027 trial date.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, were captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation in Caracas, transferred to New York, and arraigned on counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses; both pleaded not guilty. Defense counsel plans motions challenging the indictment on sovereign immunity grounds and contesting the legality of the capture, with initial filings due in September 2026 and arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege Maduro led a long-running conspiracy involving Venezuelan institutions, FARC elements, and other groups to traffic cocaine into the United States. The 85.5% implied probability on “No” (not guilty of all counts) reflects trader assessment of the extended timeline, substantial pretrial hurdles, potential for partial acquittals or plea resolutions, and the inherent uncertainty of jury outcomes in a complex, high-profile case. No verdict has been reached, and resolution depends on the final judgment after trial.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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