**US federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remain in pre-trial proceedings, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York.** Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas after his January 2026 capture and transport to the United States. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity and related jurisdictional grounds, with arguments scheduled for November 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline until any verdict, underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count is unlikely. Markets price the “No” outcome at 77 percent, reflecting uncertainty over full resolution through trial, potential plea arrangements, partial acquittals, or pre-trial dismissal rather than a complete sweep of charges. Comparable historical cases and ongoing litigation dynamics further inform this assessment of the path ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$126,167 交易量
$126,167 交易量
2027-12-31
是
$126,167 交易量
$126,167 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**US federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remain in pre-trial proceedings, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York.** Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas after his January 2026 capture and transport to the United States. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity and related jurisdictional grounds, with arguments scheduled for November 2026.
These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline until any verdict, underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count is unlikely. Markets price the “No” outcome at 77 percent, reflecting uncertainty over full resolution through trial, potential plea arrangements, partial acquittals, or pre-trial dismissal rather than a complete sweep of charges. Comparable historical cases and ongoing litigation dynamics further inform this assessment of the path ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$126,167結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**US federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remain in pre-trial proceedings, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York.** Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas after his January 2026 capture and transport to the United States. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity and related jurisdictional grounds, with arguments scheduled for November 2026.
These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline until any verdict, underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count is unlikely. Markets price the “No” outcome at 77 percent, reflecting uncertainty over full resolution through trial, potential plea arrangements, partial acquittals, or pre-trial dismissal rather than a complete sweep of charges. Comparable historical cases and ongoing litigation dynamics further inform this assessment of the path ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$126,167結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges against ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remain in pre-trial proceedings, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York.** Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas after his January 2026 capture and transport to the United States. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity and related jurisdictional grounds, with arguments scheduled for November 2026. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline until any verdict, underpin trader consensus that conviction on every count is unlikely. Markets price the “No” outcome at 77 percent, reflecting uncertainty over full resolution through trial, potential plea arrangements, partial acquittals, or pre-trial dismissal rather than a complete sweep of charges. Comparable historical cases and ongoing litigation dynamics further inform this assessment of the path ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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