**Maryland’s 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Wes Moore against Republican Dan Cox in a rematch of their 2022 contest.** The race remains solidly Democratic in forecasts and recent polling, with limited national attention or coattails expected to boost participation. Off-year dynamics, combined with the June primary’s historically low turnout of roughly 24 percent, point toward moderate general-election participation closer to the 2.03 million votes cast in 2022 than the 3.06 million in the 2024 presidential contest. Registered voters exceed 4.3 million, early voting runs October 22–29, and mail-in options remain available, yet enthusiasm gaps and the absence of competitive federal races on the ballot keep the distribution of expected totals tightly clustered around 1.85–2.3 million votes. Late-cycle developments in candidate mobilization, economic messaging on affordability, or weather on Election Day could shift final participation within that narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於185萬-200萬 32%
200萬-215萬 26%
215萬-230萬 18.4%
2,300,000-2,450,000 17%
少於1.55M
5%
155萬-170萬
5%
170萬-185萬
10%
185萬-200萬
32%
200萬-215萬
26%
215萬-230萬
18%
2,300,000-2,450,000
17%
245萬+
<1%
185萬-200萬 32%
200萬-215萬 26%
215萬-230萬 18.4%
2,300,000-2,450,000 17%
少於1.55M
5%
155萬-170萬
5%
170萬-185萬
10%
185萬-200萬
32%
200萬-215萬
26%
215萬-230萬
18%
2,300,000-2,450,000
17%
245萬+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Maryland’s 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Wes Moore against Republican Dan Cox in a rematch of their 2022 contest.** The race remains solidly Democratic in forecasts and recent polling, with limited national attention or coattails expected to boost participation. Off-year dynamics, combined with the June primary’s historically low turnout of roughly 24 percent, point toward moderate general-election participation closer to the 2.03 million votes cast in 2022 than the 3.06 million in the 2024 presidential contest. Registered voters exceed 4.3 million, early voting runs October 22–29, and mail-in options remain available, yet enthusiasm gaps and the absence of competitive federal races on the ballot keep the distribution of expected totals tightly clustered around 1.85–2.3 million votes. Late-cycle developments in candidate mobilization, economic messaging on affordability, or weather on Election Day could shift final participation within that narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions