Narendra Modi's continued tenure as India's prime minister through the end of 2026 aligns with the fixed five-year Lok Sabha term that runs until 2029 and the absence of any verified signals of resignation, incapacity, or coalition collapse. Recent state assembly elections in May 2026 delivered gains for the Bharatiya Janata Party in key contests including Assam and West Bengal, further consolidating its position midway through the third term. Modi has maintained an active schedule of cabinet meetings, domestic governance, and international engagements without procedural disruptions or internal party moves toward leadership transition. Opposition statements questioning his position lack supporting evidence of imminent change, leaving the market's 92% implied probability for "No" consistent with the structural stability of the current parliamentary cycle and electoral outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$109,058 交易量
$109,058 交易量
是
$109,058 交易量
$109,058 交易量
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's continued tenure as India's prime minister through the end of 2026 aligns with the fixed five-year Lok Sabha term that runs until 2029 and the absence of any verified signals of resignation, incapacity, or coalition collapse. Recent state assembly elections in May 2026 delivered gains for the Bharatiya Janata Party in key contests including Assam and West Bengal, further consolidating its position midway through the third term. Modi has maintained an active schedule of cabinet meetings, domestic governance, and international engagements without procedural disruptions or internal party moves toward leadership transition. Opposition statements questioning his position lack supporting evidence of imminent change, leaving the market's 92% implied probability for "No" consistent with the structural stability of the current parliamentary cycle and electoral outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions