Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister of India, secured through the National Democratic Alliance coalition following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends until the next general election in 2029. As of mid-2026, he remains firmly in office with no verified announcements of resignation, health-related withdrawal, or successful no-confidence challenges. Recent analyses of voting trends and coalition dynamics indicate continued leadership stability, while scattered opposition statements and past RSS succession speculation have not translated into tangible political pressure. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of near-term mechanisms—such as mid-term elections or constitutional triggers—that could remove him before December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$108,835 交易量
$108,835 交易量
是
$108,835 交易量
$108,835 交易量
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister of India, secured through the National Democratic Alliance coalition following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends until the next general election in 2029. As of mid-2026, he remains firmly in office with no verified announcements of resignation, health-related withdrawal, or successful no-confidence challenges. Recent analyses of voting trends and coalition dynamics indicate continued leadership stability, while scattered opposition statements and past RSS succession speculation have not translated into tangible political pressure. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of near-term mechanisms—such as mid-term elections or constitutional triggers—that could remove him before December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions