Narendra Modi’s current term as Prime Minister runs until the next scheduled Indian general elections in 2029, with no intervening national vote or constitutional trigger that would force an earlier leadership change. The BJP-led NDA coalition he heads retains a parliamentary majority following the 2024 results, and recent political reporting has shown no formal moves by party leadership or allies to replace him before the end of 2026. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 93.2% implied probability because structural timelines, the absence of scheduled mid-term elections, and the lack of credible reports of resignation or health-related withdrawal all point to continuity through the resolution window. Late-breaking developments such as an unexpected coalition fracture or personal announcement could still alter this consensus, but none have materialized in the past several months.