Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanisms or parliamentary developments indicating an early dissolution of the Lok Sabha. Recent state assembly elections in 2026 reinforced the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary standing ahead of that contest, while July protests over exam irregularities prompted the resignation of one cabinet minister but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership or calls for his departure. In June 2026 he also became India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, underscoring continuity rather than transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.1% “No” probability aligns with this absence of near-term political catalysts that could force an exit before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$229,631 交易量
$229,631 交易量
是
$229,631 交易量
$229,631 交易量
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no constitutional mechanisms or parliamentary developments indicating an early dissolution of the Lok Sabha. Recent state assembly elections in 2026 reinforced the BJP-led coalition’s parliamentary standing ahead of that contest, while July protests over exam irregularities prompted the resignation of one cabinet minister but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership or calls for his departure. In June 2026 he also became India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, underscoring continuity rather than transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.1% “No” probability aligns with this absence of near-term political catalysts that could force an exit before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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