**Market sentiment for Mutiny’s domestic opening weekend is anchored in Jason Statham’s established mid-budget action track record, with trader consensus heavily favoring sub-$8 million results amid a crowded August slate.** Lionsgate’s August 21 release, directed by Jean-François Richet and co-starring Annabelle Wallis, is positioned as counter-programming against Insidious: Out of the Further and a dominant Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdover. Tracking from Box Office Pro places the film in an $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham vehicles such as Wrath of Man and The Expendables 4. However, softer presales signals, limited franchise appeal, and competition from higher-profile titles have shifted implied probabilities toward the lower end of historical benchmarks, with only modest upside if word-of-mouth builds quickly after release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《Mutiny》周末首映票房
<8m 63%
8-9m 26%
9-10m 16%
10-11m 15%
<8m
63%
8-9m
26%
9-10m
16%
10-11m
15%
11m+
15%
<8m 63%
8-9m 26%
9-10m 16%
10-11m 15%
<8m
63%
8-9m
26%
9-10m
16%
10-11m
15%
11m+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market sentiment for Mutiny’s domestic opening weekend is anchored in Jason Statham’s established mid-budget action track record, with trader consensus heavily favoring sub-$8 million results amid a crowded August slate.** Lionsgate’s August 21 release, directed by Jean-François Richet and co-starring Annabelle Wallis, is positioned as counter-programming against Insidious: Out of the Further and a dominant Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdover. Tracking from Box Office Pro places the film in an $8–12 million range, consistent with recent Statham vehicles such as Wrath of Man and The Expendables 4. However, softer presales signals, limited franchise appeal, and competition from higher-profile titles have shifted implied probabilities toward the lower end of historical benchmarks, with only modest upside if word-of-mouth builds quickly after release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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