Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ras Baraka 100.0%
Asha Coates-Hamlet <1%
Sheila Montague <1%
Jhamar Youngblood <1%
$40,740 交易量
$40,740 交易量
2026-05-12
Asha Coates-Hamlet
否
Sheila Montague
否
Jhamar Youngblood
否
塔妮莎·加納
否
Louis Shockley
否
Ras Baraka
是
諾布爾·米爾頓
否
納希達·辛格爾頓
否
道格拉斯·戴維斯
否
Debra Salters
否
Ras Baraka 100.0%
Asha Coates-Hamlet <1%
Sheila Montague <1%
Jhamar Youngblood <1%
$40,740 交易量
$40,740 交易量
2026-05-12
Asha Coates-Hamlet
$6,558 交易量
否
Sheila Montague
$4,925 交易量
否
Jhamar Youngblood
$3,727 交易量
否
塔妮莎·加納
$3,743 交易量
否
Louis Shockley
$3,339 交易量
否
Ras Baraka
$5,894 交易量
是
諾布爾·米爾頓
$3,553 交易量
否
納希達·辛格爾頓
$3,743 交易量
否
道格拉斯·戴維斯
$1,799 交易量
否
Debra Salters
$3,458 交易量
否
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
市場開放時間： Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
交易量
$40,740結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
交易量
$40,740結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Incumbent Ras Baraka's dominant performance in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election—leading with approximately 70% of the vote as 89% of ballots were counted, per Associated Press projections—has solidified trader consensus at virtual certainty for his fourth term victory. Facing eight fragmented challengers including Jhamar Youngblood (17%) and Debra Salters (5%), Baraka benefits from strong incumbency advantages, no term limits, and a track record of lopsided wins like 83% in 2022 amid low turnout of around 18,000 votes. Official certification remains pending, but realistic challenges would require an improbable remaining vote reversal, recount dispute, or legal intervention given the insurmountable margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions