Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 in the $90-$100 range at 60% implied probability, reflecting cautious optimism amid recent subscriber growth from password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier expansion, which drove Q4 beats but tempered guidance on competition. The $80-$90 bin at 31% captures downside risks from macroeconomic headwinds like elevated interest rates pressuring growth stocks and softening ad spending, with current shares hovering near $95 after a 2% weekly dip. Lower tail risks (<$70 at ~2%) remain minimal absent major content flops, positioning $90-$100 as the market-implied median outcome ahead of no near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$90-$100 60%
$80-$90 32%
$100-$110 15%
$70-$80 11%
低於 $50
1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
1%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
32%
$90-$100
60%
$100-$110
15%
$110-$120
11%
$120-$130
1%
$130-$140
1%
>140 美元
1%
$90-$100 60%
$80-$90 32%
$100-$110 15%
$70-$80 11%
低於 $50
1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
1%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
32%
$90-$100
60%
$100-$110
15%
$110-$120
11%
$120-$130
1%
$130-$140
1%
>140 美元
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 in the $90-$100 range at 60% implied probability, reflecting cautious optimism amid recent subscriber growth from password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier expansion, which drove Q4 beats but tempered guidance on competition. The $80-$90 bin at 31% captures downside risks from macroeconomic headwinds like elevated interest rates pressuring growth stocks and softening ad spending, with current shares hovering near $95 after a 2% weekly dip. Lower tail risks (<$70 at ~2%) remain minimal absent major content flops, positioning $90-$100 as the market-implied median outcome ahead of no near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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