Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.2M-2.4M passengers at 65.5% implied probability for April 8, aligning closely with Tuesday's April 7 throughput of 2,207,180 and recent midweek averages around 2.2 million during the ongoing spring break surge. Elevated weekend volumes—such as 2.71M on April 6 and 2.56M on April 5—have tapered to typical weekday levels, down slightly year-over-year by 7-15%, reflecting post-holiday normalization amid steady demand at major hubs like Hartsfield-Jackson. Nearby outcomes like 2.4M-2.6M (47.8%) and 2.0M-2.2M (46.0%) capture uncertainty from fluctuating flight schedules and weather, while extremes remain low. TSA's official count, updated by 9 a.m. tomorrow, will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$1,534 交易量
$1,534 交易量
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
43%
2.2M-2.4M
67%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
-
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$1,534 交易量
$1,534 交易量
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
43%
2.2M-2.4M
67%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
-
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.2M-2.4M passengers at 65.5% implied probability for April 8, aligning closely with Tuesday's April 7 throughput of 2,207,180 and recent midweek averages around 2.2 million during the ongoing spring break surge. Elevated weekend volumes—such as 2.71M on April 6 and 2.56M on April 5—have tapered to typical weekday levels, down slightly year-over-year by 7-15%, reflecting post-holiday normalization amid steady demand at major hubs like Hartsfield-Jackson. Nearby outcomes like 2.4M-2.6M (47.8%) and 2.0M-2.2M (46.0%) capture uncertainty from fluctuating flight schedules and weather, while extremes remain low. TSA's official count, updated by 9 a.m. tomorrow, will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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