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Politics·Primaries

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 100.0%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Dan Goldman <1%

Polymarket

$24,111 交易量

Brad Lander 100.0%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Dan Goldman <1%

Polymarket

$24,111 交易量

Brad Lander

$8,637 交易量

Yes

Alexa Avilés

$2,290 交易量

No

Yuh-Line Niou

$2,469 交易量

No

Dan Goldman

$8,280 交易量

No

Cameron Kasky

$2,435 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds a commanding position in the New York 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to a substantial polling lead and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. As former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate, Lander has leveraged higher name recognition and positioned himself to the left of incumbent Dan Goldman on issues such as military aid policy, immigration enforcement, and economic priorities. Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has attacked Lander's record during recent debates, yet trails significantly in voter surveys. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects Lander's consistent advantage across demographics, particularly younger voters. Late developments like turnout surges favoring the incumbent or unforeseen controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,111
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds a commanding position in the New York 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to a substantial polling lead and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. As former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate, Lander has leveraged higher name recognition and positioned himself to the left of incumbent Dan Goldman on issues such as military aid policy, immigration enforcement, and economic priorities. Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has attacked Lander's record during recent debates, yet trails significantly in voter surveys. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects Lander's consistent advantage across demographics, particularly younger voters. Late developments like turnout surges favoring the incumbent or unforeseen controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,111
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Lander" at 100%, followed by "Alexa Avilés" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $24.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brad Lander" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexa Avilés" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.