Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 84% implied probability to win Ohio's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his recent high-profile endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders in late March and former Congressman Tim Ryan on April 14, bolstering his working-class union ironworker profile amid a fragmented eight-candidate field. Early voting began April 7, amplifying grassroots momentum from events like yard sign distributions and a North Shore AFL-CIO fundraiser, while additional backing from Congresswoman Val Hoyle and Ohio High School Democrats positions him against better-known rivals like ex-County Executive Ed FitzGerald. The crowded primary risks vote-splitting, favoring Poindexter's consolidated labor support in this competitive district challenging incumbent Max Miller, though late shifts remain possible before absentee and in-person balloting peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Brian Poindexter 85%
Ed FitzGerald 7%
John Butchko 4.3%
Scott Schulz 3.6%
Brian Poindexter
85%
Ed FitzGerald
7%
John Butchko
4%
Scott Schulz
4%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone
3%
Keith Mundy
1%
Ann Marie Donegan
1%
Michael Eisner
1%
Brian Poindexter 85%
Ed FitzGerald 7%
John Butchko 4.3%
Scott Schulz 3.6%
Brian Poindexter
85%
Ed FitzGerald
7%
John Butchko
4%
Scott Schulz
4%
Laura Rodriguez-Carbone
3%
Keith Mundy
1%
Ann Marie Donegan
1%
Michael Eisner
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 84% implied probability to win Ohio's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his recent high-profile endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders in late March and former Congressman Tim Ryan on April 14, bolstering his working-class union ironworker profile amid a fragmented eight-candidate field. Early voting began April 7, amplifying grassroots momentum from events like yard sign distributions and a North Shore AFL-CIO fundraiser, while additional backing from Congresswoman Val Hoyle and Ohio High School Democrats positions him against better-known rivals like ex-County Executive Ed FitzGerald. The crowded primary risks vote-splitting, favoring Poindexter's consolidated labor support in this competitive district challenging incumbent Max Miller, though late shifts remain possible before absentee and in-person balloting peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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