In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 81%
盧爾德絲·梅洛 31%
Joel Rodrigues 30%
Geraldo Carvalho 28%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯
81%
盧爾德絲·梅洛
31%
Joel Rodrigues
30%
Geraldo Carvalho
28%
朱里蒂教授
21%
Ravenna da Inclusão
19%
聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧
19%
Elizeu Aguiar
18%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
18%
吉斯瓦爾多教授
17%
古斯塔沃·費若
12%
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 81%
盧爾德絲·梅洛 31%
Joel Rodrigues 30%
Geraldo Carvalho 28%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·豐特萊斯
$512 交易量
81%
盧爾德絲·梅洛
$81 交易量
31%
Joel Rodrigues
$81 交易量
30%
Geraldo Carvalho
$81 交易量
28%
朱里蒂教授
$81 交易量
21%
Ravenna da Inclusão
$81 交易量
19%
聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧
$81 交易量
19%
Elizeu Aguiar
$81 交易量
18%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
$81 交易量
18%
吉斯瓦爾多教授
$81 交易量
17%
古斯塔沃·費若
$81 交易量
12%
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$1,102結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,102結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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