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標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?

Market icon

標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?

$64,682 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$64,682 交易量

Polymarket

4月17日

$54,195 交易量

4月30日

$7,888 交易量

5月31日

$2,598 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 notched a record closing high of 7,022.95 on April 15, 2026—surpassing its prior peak of 7,002.28 from late January—fueled by investor optimism over potential de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions and renewed momentum in AI-driven tech stocks amid a 3.6% weekly index gain. This rebound from earlier 2026 lows, where the index shed over 7% during heightened geopolitical risks, reflects trader consensus on resilient corporate earnings growth projections into 2026 and expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with 10-year Treasury yields stabilizing near recent lows. Key near-term catalysts include April 18 jobless claims, flash PMIs, and the FOMC meeting on April 28-29, which could recalibrate monetary policy outlooks and volatility via the VIX.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
交易量
$64,682
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 notched a record closing high of 7,022.95 on April 15, 2026—surpassing its prior peak of 7,002.28 from late January—fueled by investor optimism over potential de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions and renewed momentum in AI-driven tech stocks amid a 3.6% weekly index gain. This rebound from earlier 2026 lows, where the index shed over 7% during heightened geopolitical risks, reflects trader consensus on resilient corporate earnings growth projections into 2026 and expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with 10-year Treasury yields stabilizing near recent lows. Key near-term catalysts include April 18 jobless claims, flash PMIs, and the FOMC meeting on April 28-29, which could recalibrate monetary policy outlooks and volatility via the VIX.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
交易量
$64,682
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月17日" at 100%, followed by "4月30日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?" has generated $64.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?" is "4月17日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月30日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "標準普爾500指數有史以來最高... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.