Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於標準普爾500指數( SPX ) 4月8日收盤價?
標準普爾500指數( SPX ) 4月8日收盤價?
6700–6800 100.0%
低於6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 交易量
$18,104 交易量
低於6600
否
6600–6700
否
6700–6800
是
6800–6900
否
6900–7000
否
7000點以上
否
6700–6800 100.0%
低於6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 交易量
$18,104 交易量
低於6600
否
6600–6700
否
6700–6800
是
6800–6900
否
6900–7000
否
7000點以上
否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions