The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, reflecting roughly 13% year-to-date gains amid strong corporate earnings growth projected at 20-33% for full-year 2026, driven largely by AI-related capital spending and revenue expansion at major technology firms. Elevated inflation readings and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve stance have introduced volatility and compressed multiples, with forward P/E ratios near 20-21x. Trader sentiment for end-December levels hinges on whether earnings momentum can offset risks from sticky price pressures and policy signals. Key near-term catalysts include the October 28 FOMC meeting with updated projections, September employment and inflation data, and ongoing third-quarter earnings releases that could revise consensus EPS estimates higher or expose vulnerabilities in AI-driven forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$374,879 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
10%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
29%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
51%
↓ $7,200
35%
↓ $7,000
24%
↓ 6,200美元
8%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ 5,800美元
7%
↓ 5,200
4%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$374,879 交易量
↑ $10,000
$446 交易量
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 交易量
10%
↑ 8,600美元
$32,228 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,977 交易量
29%
↑ $8,000
$583 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 交易量
51%
↓ $7,200
$554 交易量
35%
↓ $7,000
$2,450 交易量
24%
↓ 6,200美元
$61,437 交易量
8%
↓ $6,000
$4,991 交易量
7%
↓ 5,800美元
$44,511 交易量
7%
↓ 5,200
$70,500 交易量
4%
↓ 4,500美元
$62,808 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, reflecting roughly 13% year-to-date gains amid strong corporate earnings growth projected at 20-33% for full-year 2026, driven largely by AI-related capital spending and revenue expansion at major technology firms. Elevated inflation readings and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve stance have introduced volatility and compressed multiples, with forward P/E ratios near 20-21x. Trader sentiment for end-December levels hinges on whether earnings momentum can offset risks from sticky price pressures and policy signals. Key near-term catalysts include the October 28 FOMC meeting with updated projections, September employment and inflation data, and ongoing third-quarter earnings releases that could revise consensus EPS estimates higher or expose vulnerabilities in AI-driven forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$374,879結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, reflecting roughly 13% year-to-date gains amid strong corporate earnings growth projected at 20-33% for full-year 2026, driven largely by AI-related capital spending and revenue expansion at major technology firms. Elevated inflation readings and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve stance have introduced volatility and compressed multiples, with forward P/E ratios near 20-21x. Trader sentiment for end-December levels hinges on whether earnings momentum can offset risks from sticky price pressures and policy signals. Key near-term catalysts include the October 28 FOMC meeting with updated projections, September employment and inflation data, and ongoing third-quarter earnings releases that could revise consensus EPS estimates higher or expose vulnerabilities in AI-driven forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
交易量
$374,879結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, reflecting roughly 13% year-to-date gains amid strong corporate earnings growth projected at 20-33% for full-year 2026, driven largely by AI-related capital spending and revenue expansion at major technology firms. Elevated inflation readings and a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve stance have introduced volatility and compressed multiples, with forward P/E ratios near 20-21x. Trader sentiment for end-December levels hinges on whether earnings momentum can offset risks from sticky price pressures and policy signals. Key near-term catalysts include the October 28 FOMC meeting with updated projections, September employment and inflation data, and ongoing third-quarter earnings releases that could revise consensus EPS estimates higher or expose vulnerabilities in AI-driven forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions