Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by a surge in AI-related capital spending, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026, with consensus estimates now pointing to 24-25% EPS expansion. The index trades near 7,550 amid a 7.7% year-to-date advance, supported by resilient first-quarter beats and upgraded analyst targets around 7,600-8,000. Geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East conflicts have elevated oil prices and near-term inflation readings, prompting markets to price out further Fed easing and assign some probability to rate hikes, which tempers upside. Narrow leadership in technology and energy sectors, alongside stable unemployment near 4.3%, leaves room for volatility around upcoming FOMC decisions and second-quarter earnings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$180,955 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ 8,600美元
16%
↑ 8,200美元
37%
↑ $7,800
78%
↓ 6,200美元
32%
↓ 5,800美元
20%
↓ 5,200
13%
↓ 4,500美元
6%
$180,955 交易量
↑ $9,300
$3,521 交易量
6%
↑ 8,600美元
$13,495 交易量
16%
↑ 8,200美元
$5,385 交易量
37%
↑ $7,800
$4,675 交易量
78%
↓ 6,200美元
$26,690 交易量
32%
↓ 5,800美元
$22,880 交易量
20%
↓ 5,200
$29,040 交易量
13%
↓ 4,500美元
$24,576 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by a surge in AI-related capital spending, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026, with consensus estimates now pointing to 24-25% EPS expansion. The index trades near 7,550 amid a 7.7% year-to-date advance, supported by resilient first-quarter beats and upgraded analyst targets around 7,600-8,000. Geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East conflicts have elevated oil prices and near-term inflation readings, prompting markets to price out further Fed easing and assign some probability to rate hikes, which tempers upside. Narrow leadership in technology and energy sectors, alongside stable unemployment near 4.3%, leaves room for volatility around upcoming FOMC decisions and second-quarter earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$180,955結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by a surge in AI-related capital spending, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026, with consensus estimates now pointing to 24-25% EPS expansion. The index trades near 7,550 amid a 7.7% year-to-date advance, supported by resilient first-quarter beats and upgraded analyst targets around 7,600-8,000. Geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East conflicts have elevated oil prices and near-term inflation readings, prompting markets to price out further Fed easing and assign some probability to rate hikes, which tempers upside. Narrow leadership in technology and energy sectors, alongside stable unemployment near 4.3%, leaves room for volatility around upcoming FOMC decisions and second-quarter earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$180,955結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, fueled by a surge in AI-related capital spending, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026, with consensus estimates now pointing to 24-25% EPS expansion. The index trades near 7,550 amid a 7.7% year-to-date advance, supported by resilient first-quarter beats and upgraded analyst targets around 7,600-8,000. Geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East conflicts have elevated oil prices and near-term inflation readings, prompting markets to price out further Fed easing and assign some probability to rate hikes, which tempers upside. Narrow leadership in technology and energy sectors, alongside stable unemployment near 4.3%, leaves room for volatility around upcoming FOMC decisions and second-quarter earnings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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