Robust corporate earnings growth, with Wall Street estimates now at 25% for full-year 2026 S&P 500 EPS, serves as the primary driver of current index levels near 7,430 as of mid-June. AI infrastructure spending and margin expansion to record highs underpin this momentum, offsetting narrower market breadth and rotation pressures. Persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have tempered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, keeping the policy rate steady and supporting Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings reports and any FOMC communications on the inflation trajectory, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end closing levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$176,931 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ 8,600美元
16%
↑ 8,200美元
37%
↑ $7,800
66%
↓ 6,200美元
31%
↓ 5,800美元
22%
↓ 5,200
14%
↓ 4,500美元
9%
$176,931 交易量
↑ $9,300
$3,521 交易量
6%
↑ 8,600美元
$13,465 交易量
16%
↑ 8,200美元
$5,259 交易量
37%
↑ $7,800
$4,301 交易量
66%
↓ 6,200美元
$26,108 交易量
31%
↓ 5,800美元
$22,080 交易量
22%
↓ 5,200
$27,323 交易量
14%
↓ 4,500美元
$24,221 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, with Wall Street estimates now at 25% for full-year 2026 S&P 500 EPS, serves as the primary driver of current index levels near 7,430 as of mid-June. AI infrastructure spending and margin expansion to record highs underpin this momentum, offsetting narrower market breadth and rotation pressures. Persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have tempered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, keeping the policy rate steady and supporting Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings reports and any FOMC communications on the inflation trajectory, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$176,931結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, with Wall Street estimates now at 25% for full-year 2026 S&P 500 EPS, serves as the primary driver of current index levels near 7,430 as of mid-June. AI infrastructure spending and margin expansion to record highs underpin this momentum, offsetting narrower market breadth and rotation pressures. Persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have tempered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, keeping the policy rate steady and supporting Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings reports and any FOMC communications on the inflation trajectory, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$176,931結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETRobust corporate earnings growth, with Wall Street estimates now at 25% for full-year 2026 S&P 500 EPS, serves as the primary driver of current index levels near 7,430 as of mid-June. AI infrastructure spending and margin expansion to record highs underpin this momentum, offsetting narrower market breadth and rotation pressures. Persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions have tempered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, keeping the policy rate steady and supporting Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings reports and any FOMC communications on the inflation trajectory, which could shift implied probabilities around year-end closing levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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