Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) closing above key thresholds on March 23 at subdued implied probabilities around 40-50%, reflecting caution amid softening EV demand and macroeconomic headwinds. TSLA shares have slid 15% YTD from $270 highs, pressured by weak China sales (-49% YoY in Feb per CPCA data) and intensifying competition from BYD, while high interest rates curb auto financing. Bullish catalysts include Q1 delivery figures due early April (consensus 460K units) and FSD v12 rollout momentum, but resolution hinges on intraday volatility around $250 support. Upcoming FOMC March 19-20 signals could sway risk assets, with Fed dot plot eyed for rate cut path influencing growth stocks like TSLA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於360美元
70%
370美元
51%
380美元
13%
390 美元
1%
400美元
<1%
$755 交易量
360美元
70%
370美元
51%
380美元
13%
390 美元
1%
400美元
<1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) closing above key thresholds on March 23 at subdued implied probabilities around 40-50%, reflecting caution amid softening EV demand and macroeconomic headwinds. TSLA shares have slid 15% YTD from $270 highs, pressured by weak China sales (-49% YoY in Feb per CPCA data) and intensifying competition from BYD, while high interest rates curb auto financing. Bullish catalysts include Q1 delivery figures due early April (consensus 460K units) and FSD v12 rollout momentum, but resolution hinges on intraday volatility around $250 support. Upcoming FOMC March 19-20 signals could sway risk assets, with Fed dot plot eyed for rate cut path influencing growth stocks like TSLA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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