Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic primary by a similar margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its rural Southside Virginia composition and established partisan lean. McGuire benefits from incumbency, Trump endorsement, and strong primary performance following his 2024 victory. Perriello brings name recognition and competitive fundraising, with one pre-primary poll showing a narrow gap, yet structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$66,073 交易量
$66,073 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
85%
民主黨
14%
$66,073 交易量
$66,073 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$32,567 交易量
85%
民主黨
$33,506 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic primary by a similar margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its rural Southside Virginia composition and established partisan lean. McGuire benefits from incumbency, Trump endorsement, and strong primary performance following his 2024 victory. Perriello brings name recognition and competitive fundraising, with one pre-primary poll showing a narrow gap, yet structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$66,073結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic primary by a similar margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its rural Southside Virginia composition and established partisan lean. McGuire benefits from incumbency, Trump endorsement, and strong primary performance following his 2024 victory. Perriello brings name recognition and competitive fundraising, with one pre-primary poll showing a narrow gap, yet structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$66,073結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic primary by a similar margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting its rural Southside Virginia composition and established partisan lean. McGuire benefits from incumbency, Trump endorsement, and strong primary performance following his 2024 victory. Perriello brings name recognition and competitive fundraising, with one pre-primary poll showing a narrow gap, yet structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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