President Trump's scheduled Fox Business interview with Maria Bartiromo on "Mornings with Maria" at 6 a.m. ET today occurs amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions, with the recent U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports—initiated over the weekend—dominating headlines. Trump warned two days ago of 50% tariffs on China if it supplies arms to Iran, while signaling in a preview that the conflict is "very close to being over" as peace talks loom. These developments, alongside positive economic data on inflation and energy exports, fuel trader consensus favoring high probabilities for mentions of "blockade" (87%), "Biden" (83%), "Russia" (83%), and "greatest military" (76%), reflecting his rhetorical focus on foreign policy achievements, tariff threats, and criticisms of predecessors in this high-stakes geopolitical moment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$75,172 交易量
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
62%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
72%
Biden
76%
Democrat
76%
Gay
5%
Midterm
52%
Dow / S&P
72%
Drug
30%
Fake news
57%
Leo / Pope
40%
Stupid
63%
Paper tiger
43%
Boat
51%
Hottest
44%
Russia
83%
Inflation
69%
Too Late / Fed
62%
King
32%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
37%
Blockade
82%
Underwater
36%
Mine
62%
JD / Vance
68%
Greatest Military
70%
Patriot
42%
Bottom of the Sea
45%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
$75,172 交易量
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
62%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
72%
Biden
76%
Democrat
76%
Gay
5%
Midterm
52%
Dow / S&P
72%
Drug
30%
Fake news
57%
Leo / Pope
40%
Stupid
63%
Paper tiger
43%
Boat
51%
Hottest
44%
Russia
83%
Inflation
69%
Too Late / Fed
62%
King
32%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
37%
Blockade
82%
Underwater
36%
Mine
62%
JD / Vance
68%
Greatest Military
70%
Patriot
42%
Bottom of the Sea
45%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scheduled Fox Business interview with Maria Bartiromo on "Mornings with Maria" at 6 a.m. ET today occurs amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions, with the recent U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports—initiated over the weekend—dominating headlines. Trump warned two days ago of 50% tariffs on China if it supplies arms to Iran, while signaling in a preview that the conflict is "very close to being over" as peace talks loom. These developments, alongside positive economic data on inflation and energy exports, fuel trader consensus favoring high probabilities for mentions of "blockade" (87%), "Biden" (83%), "Russia" (83%), and "greatest military" (76%), reflecting his rhetorical focus on foreign policy achievements, tariff threats, and criticisms of predecessors in this high-stakes geopolitical moment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions