President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-04-19
Make America Great Again
70%
Transgender
72%
Epic Fury
78%
Sleepy Joe
67%
Ass
44%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
69%
Hezbollah
65%
Christmas
42%
Boy oh boy
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
29%
AOC
37%
Losing MAGA
29%
All over the place
43%
Jesus
36%
Two week / two-week
68%
Gulf of America
31%
See what happens
68%
Six Seven
47%
Peanut
42%
Central Casting
50%
Regarded
28%
Crypto / Bitcoin
53%
No No No
55%
Gay for Palestine
23%
Nuke
41%
Melania
59%
Four to Six
50%
$123 交易量
Make America Great Again
$1 交易量
70%
Transgender
$50 交易量
72%
Epic Fury
$43 交易量
78%
Sleepy Joe
$3 交易量
67%
Ass
$13 交易量
44%
Sucker / Loser
$0 交易量
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
$0 交易量
69%
Hezbollah
$3 交易量
65%
Christmas
$0 交易量
42%
Boy oh boy
$0 交易量
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
$0 交易量
29%
AOC
$0 交易量
37%
Losing MAGA
$0 交易量
29%
All over the place
$0 交易量
43%
Jesus
$4 交易量
36%
Two week / two-week
$0 交易量
68%
Gulf of America
$0 交易量
31%
See what happens
$0 交易量
68%
Six Seven
$0 交易量
47%
Peanut
$5 交易量
42%
Central Casting
$0 交易量
50%
Regarded
$0 交易量
28%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$0 交易量
53%
No No No
$0 交易量
55%
Gay for Palestine
$0 交易量
23%
Nuke
$0 交易量
41%
Melania
$0 交易量
59%
Four to Six
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$123結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$123結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions