President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ass / Shit
20%
Stupid
83%
Sleepy Joe
57%
New York Times
65%
AG / Attorney General
57%
Charlie / Kirk
49%
Hezbollah
53%
God Bless America
31%
UFC
31%
Free Tina Peters
30%
POTUS
28%
Military Operation
65%
Ballroom
63%
Panican
27%
Save America Act / Save Act
82%
Epic Fury
66%
Crypto / Bitcoin
51%
Harvard
52%
FBI
67%
Lisa
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
66%
China / Xi
75%
Democrat Shutdown
51%
TSA / DHS
51%
Endorsed / Endorsement
81%
Poll / Polling
59%
Spain
28%
Banned
28%
Epstein
35%
Hoax
43%
$52 交易量
Ass / Shit
20%
Stupid
83%
Sleepy Joe
57%
New York Times
65%
AG / Attorney General
57%
Charlie / Kirk
49%
Hezbollah
53%
God Bless America
31%
UFC
31%
Free Tina Peters
30%
POTUS
28%
Military Operation
65%
Ballroom
63%
Panican
27%
Save America Act / Save Act
82%
Epic Fury
66%
Crypto / Bitcoin
51%
Harvard
52%
FBI
67%
Lisa
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
66%
China / Xi
75%
Democrat Shutdown
51%
TSA / DHS
51%
Endorsed / Endorsement
81%
Poll / Polling
59%
Spain
28%
Banned
28%
Epstein
35%
Hoax
43%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions