Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？

4月 14

4月 17

4月 21

4月 14

4月 17

4月 21

100-119 42%

80-99 30%

120-139 27%

140-159 22%

Polymarket
最新

$15,072 交易量

100-119 42%

80-99 30%

120-139 27%

140-159 22%

Polymarket
最新

$15,072 交易量

少於20

$12,113 交易量

<1%

20-39

$1,332 交易量

1%

40-59

$1,291 交易量

1%

60-79

$162 交易量

14%

80-99

$50 交易量

30%

100-119

$0 交易量

42%

120-139

$0 交易量

27%

140-159

$0 交易量

22%

160-179

$23 交易量

2%

180-199

$54 交易量

2%

200條以上

$47 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has accelerated to a 19-post daily average through April 11 amid intense Iran rhetoric, including expletive-laden threats over the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 rescues, and deadlines like "Power Plant Day," with trackers logging 75-80 posts since April 7 and a 160-post overnight spree around April 7-8. This contrasts prior weeks' lower pace of about 12 daily posts from March 31-April 7, per resolved markets and archives. Traders reflect this variability in consensus for 100-119 total posts (12.5-14.9 per day over the eight-day window) at 40.5%, followed by 80-99 at 30%, anticipating sustained volume without new escalations or scheduled events to spike activity further.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$15,072
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has accelerated to a 19-post daily average through April 11 amid intense Iran rhetoric, including expletive-laden threats over the Strait of Hormuz, F-15 rescues, and deadlines like "Power Plant Day," with trackers logging 75-80 posts since April 7 and a 160-post overnight spree around April 7-8. This contrasts prior weeks' lower pace of about 12 daily posts from March 31-April 7, per resolved markets and archives. Traders reflect this variability in consensus for 100-119 total posts (12.5-14.9 per day over the eight-day window) at 40.5%, followed by 80-99 at 30%, anticipating sustained volume without new escalations or scheduled events to spike activity further.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$15,072
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 42%, followed by "80-99" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？" is "100-119" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月14日至4月21日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.