Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於100-119 37%
80-99 32%
120-139 10%
60-79 9%
$22,425 交易量
$22,425 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
9%
80-99
32%
100-119
37%
120-139
10%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200+
3%
100-119 37%
80-99 32%
120-139 10%
60-79 9%
$22,425 交易量
$22,425 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
9%
80-99
32%
100-119
37%
120-139
10%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200+
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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