President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-04-11
April 11
57%
April 12
57%
April 13
64%
April 14
55%
April 15
59%
April 16
58%
April 17
59%
April 18
62%
April 19
62%
April 20
62%
April 21
62%
April 22
64%
April 23
64%
April 24
64%
April 25
64%
April 26
64%
April 27
64%
April 28
64%
April 29
64%
April 30
64%
$245 交易量
April 11
$97 交易量
57%
April 12
$23 交易量
57%
April 13
$4 交易量
64%
April 14
$46 交易量
55%
April 15
$20 交易量
59%
April 16
$34 交易量
58%
April 17
$21 交易量
59%
April 18
$0 交易量
62%
April 19
$0 交易量
62%
April 20
$0 交易量
62%
April 21
$0 交易量
62%
April 22
$0 交易量
64%
April 23
$0 交易量
64%
April 24
$0 交易量
64%
April 25
$0 交易量
64%
April 26
$0 交易量
64%
April 27
$0 交易量
64%
April 28
$0 交易量
64%
April 29
$0 交易量
64%
April 30
$0 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$245結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$245結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has escalated public rhetoric on Truth Social amid Iran tensions, launching personal attacks yesterday against conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—calling them "losers," "nut jobs," and "troublemakers" for opposing his policy. This follows April 7 barbs at Fox News hosts and an Easter post with profanity directed at Iran. Traders weigh his consistent pattern of responding to detractors via daily posts against quieter days, with ongoing Middle East developments and potential press events likely to influence outcomes. Historical base rates show frequent insults during controversies, keeping daily probabilities competitive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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