Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent pace of 20-30 posts per day amid ongoing political discourse, Tesla updates, and SpaceX milestones like the Artemis II splashdown. XTracker data for the April 9-11 period logged a 25-post daily average after the first day, aligning with the prior April 6-8 window's 65-89 total resolution (~22-30/day), while lower bins like 40-64 (26.5%) account for quieter stretches seen on days like April 2 (22-26 posts). Absent major catalysts such as earnings calls or viral controversies, sentiment clusters around this baseline, though spikes remain possible from real-time events through April 13 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 45%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
最新
$108,652 交易量
最新
$108,652 交易量
2026-04-13
少於40
2%
40-64
27%
65-89
45%
90-114
20%
115-139
5%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 45%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
最新
$108,652 交易量
最新
$108,652 交易量
2026-04-13
少於40
$10,273 交易量
2%
40-64
$4,599 交易量
27%
65-89
$8,422 交易量
45%
90-114
$3,838 交易量
20%
115-139
$9,172 交易量
5%
140-164
$9,908 交易量
1%
165-189
$10,067 交易量
1%
190-214
$10,497 交易量
<1%
215-239
$21,183 交易量
<1%
240+
$20,693 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent pace of 20-30 posts per day amid ongoing political discourse, Tesla updates, and SpaceX milestones like the Artemis II splashdown. XTracker data for the April 9-11 period logged a 25-post daily average after the first day, aligning with the prior April 6-8 window's 65-89 total resolution (~22-30/day), while lower bins like 40-64 (26.5%) account for quieter stretches seen on days like April 2 (22-26 posts). Absent major catalysts such as earnings calls or viral controversies, sentiment clusters around this baseline, though spikes remain possible from real-time events through April 13 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
交易量
$108,652結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent pace of 20-30 posts per day amid ongoing political discourse, Tesla updates, and SpaceX milestones like the Artemis II splashdown. XTracker data for the April 9-11 period logged a 25-post daily average after the first day, aligning with the prior April 6-8 window's 65-89 total resolution (~22-30/day), while lower bins like 40-64 (26.5%) account for quieter stretches seen on days like April 2 (22-26 posts). Absent major catalysts such as earnings calls or viral controversies, sentiment clusters around this baseline, though spikes remain possible from real-time events through April 13 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$108,652結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent pace of 20-30 posts per day amid ongoing political discourse, Tesla updates, and SpaceX milestones like the Artemis II splashdown. XTracker data for the April 9-11 period logged a 25-post daily average after the first day, aligning with the prior April 6-8 window's 65-89 total resolution (~22-30/day), while lower bins like 40-64 (26.5%) account for quieter stretches seen on days like April 2 (22-26 posts). Absent major catalysts such as earnings calls or viral controversies, sentiment clusters around this baseline, though spikes remain possible from real-time events through April 13 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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