Market icon
科技·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon
科技·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

最新
2026-04-10
Polymarket

$2,846 交易量

Polymarket

April 10

$1,040 交易量

1%

April 11

$505 交易量

60%

April 12

$1,172 交易量

83%

April 13

$128 交易量

89%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT's bid to reclaim the #1 free app spot in the US Apple App Store hinges on volatile daily rankings amid fierce AI chatbot competition from Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini, with games like Monopoly GO! often dominating. Trader sentiment reflects March's backlash against OpenAI's DoD contract, which spiked ChatGPT uninstalls 295% and propelled Claude to #1 for the first time, only for ChatGPT to surge back via GPT-5.4's superior multimodal reasoning and computer-use features. As of April 10, it ranked #2 behind Monopoly GO!, with Claude at #3 and Meta's new Muse Spark AI climbing fast. Watch upcoming OpenAI updates, model benchmarks, and viral events that could trigger download spikes before market deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$2,846
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提議結果: No

爭議期

最終

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT's bid to reclaim the #1 free app spot in the US Apple App Store hinges on volatile daily rankings amid fierce AI chatbot competition from Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini, with games like Monopoly GO! often dominating. Trader sentiment reflects March's backlash against OpenAI's DoD contract, which spiked ChatGPT uninstalls 295% and propelled Claude to #1 for the first time, only for ChatGPT to surge back via GPT-5.4's superior multimodal reasoning and computer-use features. As of April 10, it ranked #2 behind Monopoly GO!, with Claude at #3 and Meta's new Muse Spark AI climbing fast. Watch upcoming OpenAI updates, model benchmarks, and viral events that could trigger download spikes before market deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$2,846
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提議結果: No

爭議期

最終

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 13" at 89%, followed by "April 12" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "April 13" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 12" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.