Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 posts (implied probabilities totaling over 58%) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, 2026, reflecting his steady 30-35 posts per day pace amid ongoing Tesla inventory updates, Grok AI teases, and meme-driven engagements. Recent data from resolved markets shows 62 posts April 9-11 (31 daily average) and 136 midway through April 7-14 (projecting ~240 total), underscoring consistent volume without major spikes in the past 48 hours. Closely matched frontrunners (240-259 at 26.5%, 260-279 at 20.5%, 220-239 at 17.5%) highlight uncertainty from event-driven surges—like potential SpaceX announcements or viral political discourse—that could push toward 280+ or dip below 220 if Musk prioritizes off-platform business. Watch for breaking news catalysts before April 21 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
$333,146 交易量
$333,146 交易量
小於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
$333,146 交易量
$333,146 交易量
小於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 posts (implied probabilities totaling over 58%) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, 2026, reflecting his steady 30-35 posts per day pace amid ongoing Tesla inventory updates, Grok AI teases, and meme-driven engagements. Recent data from resolved markets shows 62 posts April 9-11 (31 daily average) and 136 midway through April 7-14 (projecting ~240 total), underscoring consistent volume without major spikes in the past 48 hours. Closely matched frontrunners (240-259 at 26.5%, 260-279 at 20.5%, 220-239 at 17.5%) highlight uncertainty from event-driven surges—like potential SpaceX announcements or viral political discourse—that could push toward 280+ or dip below 220 if Musk prioritizes off-platform business. Watch for breaking news catalysts before April 21 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions