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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

4月 14

4月 14

IF 43%

Thrash 42%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 34%

Beast 22%

Polymarket
最新

IF 43%

Thrash 42%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 34%

Beast 22%

Polymarket
最新
Market icon

IF

$0 交易量

43%

Market icon

Thrash

$0 交易量

42%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$0 交易量

34%

Market icon

Beast

$0 交易量

22%

Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$6 交易量

15%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$1 交易量

8%

Market icon

Anaconda

$13 交易量

4%

Market icon

Madagascar

$37 交易量

2%

Market icon

Undold:拉馬爾·奧多姆的生與死

$37 交易量

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a nail-biting contest for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movies chart, with IF and Thrash deadlocked at 42% implied probabilities behind Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle's dominant #1 daily positioning. IF surged to #2 on April 10 daily rankings, fueled by its family-friendly animated appeal from John Krasinski and Ryan Reynolds, topping kids' movies amid weekend family streaming. Thrash, Netflix's fresh April 10 premiere shark thriller starring Phoebe Dynevor, boasts strong early buzz from reviews praising its over-the-top disaster thrills despite mixed critical scores, positioning it for a potential weekend breakout among horror fans. Key differentiators include IF's broad kid demographics versus Thrash's adult genre pull, with final hours of viewing data before the weekly lock critical to breaking the deadlock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$95
結束日期
2026-04-14
市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a nail-biting contest for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movies chart, with IF and Thrash deadlocked at 42% implied probabilities behind Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle's dominant #1 daily positioning. IF surged to #2 on April 10 daily rankings, fueled by its family-friendly animated appeal from John Krasinski and Ryan Reynolds, topping kids' movies amid weekend family streaming. Thrash, Netflix's fresh April 10 premiere shark thriller starring Phoebe Dynevor, boasts strong early buzz from reviews praising its over-the-top disaster thrills despite mixed critical scores, positioning it for a potential weekend breakout among horror fans. Key differentiators include IF's broad kid demographics versus Thrash's adult genre pull, with final hours of viewing data before the weekly lock critical to breaking the deadlock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$95
結束日期
2026-04-14
市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "IF" at 43%, followed by "Thrash" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "IF" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thrash" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.