Trader consensus strongly favors White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving less than 15 minutes late (66%) to her next James Brady Press Briefing Room session, driven by her punctuality in recent high-stakes briefings amid the U.S.-Iran ceasefire and NATO talks. On April 8, Leavitt's briefing started near its 1:00 p.m. ET schedule while addressing the two-week truce and Strait of Hormuz reopening, with no reported major delay despite presidential consultations. Earlier sessions on March 30 and 25 similarly aligned closely with announcements, though historical patterns include brief holdups for Trump monitoring developments. Moderate delay ranges (15-35 minutes at ~49%) reflect uncertainty from potential last-minute diplomatic updates, underscoring the closely contested nature beyond the leading outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<15 minutes 54%
20 - 25 minutes 52%
30 - 35 minutes 51%
15 - 20 minutes 49%
<15 minutes
54%
15 - 20 minutes
49%
20 - 25 minutes
52%
25 - 30 minutes
41%
30 - 35 minutes
51%
35+ minutes
48%
<15 minutes 54%
20 - 25 minutes 52%
30 - 35 minutes 51%
15 - 20 minutes 49%
<15 minutes
54%
15 - 20 minutes
49%
20 - 25 minutes
52%
25 - 30 minutes
41%
30 - 35 minutes
51%
35+ minutes
48%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving less than 15 minutes late (66%) to her next James Brady Press Briefing Room session, driven by her punctuality in recent high-stakes briefings amid the U.S.-Iran ceasefire and NATO talks. On April 8, Leavitt's briefing started near its 1:00 p.m. ET schedule while addressing the two-week truce and Strait of Hormuz reopening, with no reported major delay despite presidential consultations. Earlier sessions on March 30 and 25 similarly aligned closely with announcements, though historical patterns include brief holdups for Trump monitoring developments. Moderate delay ranges (15-35 minutes at ~49%) reflect uncertainty from potential last-minute diplomatic updates, underscoring the closely contested nature beyond the leading outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions