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icon for 誰將參加北約峯會?

誰將參加北約峯會?

icon for 誰將參加北約峯會?

誰將參加北約峯會?

$273,281 交易量

2026-07-08
Polymarket

$273,281 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 唐納德·特朗普

唐納德·特朗普

$201,457 交易量

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$20,792 交易量

icon for 馬可·魯比奧

馬可·魯比奧

$51,031 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$273,281
結束日期
2026-07-08
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$273,281
結束日期
2026-07-08
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將參加北約峯會?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "唐納德·特朗普" at 100%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將參加北約峯會?" has generated $273.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將參加北約峯會?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將參加北約峯會?" is "唐納德·特朗普" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將參加北約峯會?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.