Ukraine and NATO allies have reaffirmed an irreversible path to membership without any timeline restrictions or concessions on accession. At the July 2026 Ankara summit, leaders pledged sustained military assistance through 2027 while endorsing Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration and rejecting any freeze on its NATO aspirations. Ukrainian President Zelensky has repeatedly insisted on immediate membership eligibility, citing the country’s defensive capabilities and security needs amid ongoing conflict. No official statements, negotiations, or diplomatic signals indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 ban, aligning with the 91% trader consensus against such an agreement. Scheduled alliance meetings and Ukraine’s reform efforts continue to reinforce this positioning through the remainder of the year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$131,995 交易量
$131,995 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$131,995 交易量
$131,995 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine and NATO allies have reaffirmed an irreversible path to membership without any timeline restrictions or concessions on accession. At the July 2026 Ankara summit, leaders pledged sustained military assistance through 2027 while endorsing Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration and rejecting any freeze on its NATO aspirations. Ukrainian President Zelensky has repeatedly insisted on immediate membership eligibility, citing the country’s defensive capabilities and security needs amid ongoing conflict. No official statements, negotiations, or diplomatic signals indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 ban, aligning with the 91% trader consensus against such an agreement. Scheduled alliance meetings and Ukraine’s reform efforts continue to reinforce this positioning through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$131,995結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine and NATO allies have reaffirmed an irreversible path to membership without any timeline restrictions or concessions on accession. At the July 2026 Ankara summit, leaders pledged sustained military assistance through 2027 while endorsing Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration and rejecting any freeze on its NATO aspirations. Ukrainian President Zelensky has repeatedly insisted on immediate membership eligibility, citing the country’s defensive capabilities and security needs amid ongoing conflict. No official statements, negotiations, or diplomatic signals indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 ban, aligning with the 91% trader consensus against such an agreement. Scheduled alliance meetings and Ukraine’s reform efforts continue to reinforce this positioning through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
交易量
$131,995結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine and NATO allies have reaffirmed an irreversible path to membership without any timeline restrictions or concessions on accession. At the July 2026 Ankara summit, leaders pledged sustained military assistance through 2027 while endorsing Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration and rejecting any freeze on its NATO aspirations. Ukrainian President Zelensky has repeatedly insisted on immediate membership eligibility, citing the country’s defensive capabilities and security needs amid ongoing conflict. No official statements, negotiations, or diplomatic signals indicate willingness to accept a pre-2027 ban, aligning with the 91% trader consensus against such an agreement. Scheduled alliance meetings and Ukraine’s reform efforts continue to reinforce this positioning through the remainder of the year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions