Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for NATO dissolving before 2027, reflecting the alliance's institutional resilience amid U.S. President Trump's threats of funding cuts, troop withdrawals, and reduced commitments tied to the Iran conflict and European burden-sharing disputes. Recent developments, including NATO's April 27 confirmation of scaled-back annual summits to manage transatlantic tensions and ongoing preparations for the July 7-8 Ankara summit hosted by Türkiye, underscore continuity rather than collapse. No member has invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal process, and unanimous consent required for dissolution remains elusive amid Russia's Ukraine invasion sustaining unity; European defense spending hikes toward 2% GDP targets further bolster stability, with officials like Estonia's minister affirming the alliance's endurance despite rhetoric. Late escalations or U.S. formal exit could shift odds, but structural barriers favor persistence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$75,609 交易量
$75,609 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$75,609 交易量
$75,609 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for NATO dissolving before 2027, reflecting the alliance's institutional resilience amid U.S. President Trump's threats of funding cuts, troop withdrawals, and reduced commitments tied to the Iran conflict and European burden-sharing disputes. Recent developments, including NATO's April 27 confirmation of scaled-back annual summits to manage transatlantic tensions and ongoing preparations for the July 7-8 Ankara summit hosted by Türkiye, underscore continuity rather than collapse. No member has invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal process, and unanimous consent required for dissolution remains elusive amid Russia's Ukraine invasion sustaining unity; European defense spending hikes toward 2% GDP targets further bolster stability, with officials like Estonia's minister affirming the alliance's endurance despite rhetoric. Late escalations or U.S. formal exit could shift odds, but structural barriers favor persistence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$75,609結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for NATO dissolving before 2027, reflecting the alliance's institutional resilience amid U.S. President Trump's threats of funding cuts, troop withdrawals, and reduced commitments tied to the Iran conflict and European burden-sharing disputes. Recent developments, including NATO's April 27 confirmation of scaled-back annual summits to manage transatlantic tensions and ongoing preparations for the July 7-8 Ankara summit hosted by Türkiye, underscore continuity rather than collapse. No member has invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal process, and unanimous consent required for dissolution remains elusive amid Russia's Ukraine invasion sustaining unity; European defense spending hikes toward 2% GDP targets further bolster stability, with officials like Estonia's minister affirming the alliance's endurance despite rhetoric. Late escalations or U.S. formal exit could shift odds, but structural barriers favor persistence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$75,609結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for NATO dissolving before 2027, reflecting the alliance's institutional resilience amid U.S. President Trump's threats of funding cuts, troop withdrawals, and reduced commitments tied to the Iran conflict and European burden-sharing disputes. Recent developments, including NATO's April 27 confirmation of scaled-back annual summits to manage transatlantic tensions and ongoing preparations for the July 7-8 Ankara summit hosted by Türkiye, underscore continuity rather than collapse. No member has invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal process, and unanimous consent required for dissolution remains elusive amid Russia's Ukraine invasion sustaining unity; European defense spending hikes toward 2% GDP targets further bolster stability, with officials like Estonia's minister affirming the alliance's endurance despite rhetoric. Late escalations or U.S. formal exit could shift odds, but structural barriers favor persistence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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