萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？

Name: 萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？
Start: 2026-03-24T21:35:28.061Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

地緣政治·美國x伊朗

萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？

NEW

Apr 30, 2026

3月31日

$1,728 交易量

4月10日

$362 交易量

28%

$2,091 交易量

3月31日

$1,728 交易量

4月10日

$362 交易量

28%

If U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance visits the Greater Middle East between market creation and the listed date and 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Greater Middle East refers to the region comprising Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Yemen, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of a listed country. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Vance or released by his verified social media accounts, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Absence of any official announcements or scheduled foreign travel has kept trader consensus on a low implied probability for JD Vance visiting the Middle East, as his campaign itinerary prioritizes swing-state rallies and the October 1 vice presidential debate ahead of the November election. Recent catalysts include Vance's July meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu at the Republican National Convention and his public affirmations of strong U.S.-Israel ties amid escalating regional tensions with Hezbollah and Iran, yet no trip has materialized. Post-election scenarios could shift dynamics if the Trump-Vance ticket prevails, but current evidence points to domestic focus; traders watch for State Department schedules or abrupt geopolitical escalations as potential movers.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 25, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月10日" at 28%, followed by "3月31日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" is "4月10日" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 28¢ for "4月10日" in the "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 28% chance that "4月10日" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 28¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 72¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？

萬斯會在…前訪問中東嗎？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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