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政府關閉 預測與賠率

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2026年又一次美國政府關門和眾議院贏家?

2026年又一次美國政府關門和眾議院贏家?

82%

政府關閉與民主黨

$327K 交易量

$63.1K Liq.

12

Ends 4 個月內

共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎?

共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎?

15%

2026年12月31日

$560K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

29

Ends 3 個月前

Number of TSA passengers June 29 - July 5

Number of TSA passengers June 29 - July 5

50%

<19m

$179 交易量

$120 Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

21%

July 31

$323K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

36

Ends 大約 13 小時前

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

1%

June 30

$26.6K 交易量

$88 Liq.

1

Ends 大約 13 小時前

Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

45%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$172K 交易量

$76.4K Liq.

5

Ends 4 個月內

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

1%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

$230K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

6

Ends 4 個月內

Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

38%

$84 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

<1%

$111K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 13 小時前

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

37%

$120 交易量

$213 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

3%

$3.1K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

32%

December 31

$368K 交易量

$198K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

65%

December 31, 2026

$8.3K 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

7%

Before 2027

$507K 交易量

$14.1K Liq.

48

Ends 3 個月前

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

52%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$189K 交易量

$191K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors

$10 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 5 個月前

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

13%

June 30

$176K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

17

Ends 大約 15 小時內

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

29%

$10 交易量

$872 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

57%

October 31

$167 交易量

$485 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

8%

$11.7K 交易量

$16.0K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 15% chance to 2026年12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 政府關閉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.