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特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?

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特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?

12月 31

12月 31

6% 機率
Polymarket
最新

6% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite aggressive executive actions, including a March 2025 executive order directing Secretary Linda McMahon to dismantle the Department of Education to the fullest extent permissible by law, the agency persists due to congressional appropriations. President Trump signed a $79 billion fiscal 2026 funding bill in February 2026, rebuking full elimination efforts and maintaining core programs amid bipartisan resistance, even as bills like H.R. 899 seek termination by December 2026 without advancing. Recent shifts, such as transferring headquarters to the Energy Department and reassigning staff, have shrunk operations but fall short of statutory abolition, which requires congressional vote—a slim prospect before 2027 given historical patterns and ongoing FY2027 budget debates proposing cuts rather than closure. Trader consensus at 94.5% "No" underscores these legislative barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,433
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite aggressive executive actions, including a March 2025 executive order directing Secretary Linda McMahon to dismantle the Department of Education to the fullest extent permissible by law, the agency persists due to congressional appropriations. President Trump signed a $79 billion fiscal 2026 funding bill in February 2026, rebuking full elimination efforts and maintaining core programs amid bipartisan resistance, even as bills like H.R. 899 seek termination by December 2026 without advancing. Recent shifts, such as transferring headquarters to the Energy Department and reassigning staff, have shrunk operations but fall short of statutory abolition, which requires congressional vote—a slim prospect before 2027 given historical patterns and ongoing FY2027 budget debates proposing cuts rather than closure. Trader consensus at 94.5% "No" underscores these legislative barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,433
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在2027年前結束教育部嗎?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 19, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?" is "特朗普會在2027年前結束教育部嗎?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在2027年之前結束教育部嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.