Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate tweet volume for Elon Musk over April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability for 65-89 posts, reflecting his recent subdued pace of around 16-25 posts per day tracked via X analytics as of April 11, including commentary on Tesla Semi innovations, Starship updates, Starlink successes, and cultural flashpoints like urban crime and political rhetoric. This positions 40-64 (28.5%) as the next likely bin, aligning with historical weekday averages near 30 amid variable bursts tied to SpaceX milestones or viral controversies. Lower tails like under 40 (2.3%) or 240+ (0.3%) account for weekend lulls or unexpected news catalysts, underscoring the crowd wisdom in anticipating his unpredictable social media cadence without major events confirmed on the horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 14%
115-139 3.5%
最新
$32,818 交易量
最新
$32,818 交易量
2026-04-15
少於40條
2%
40-64
29%
65-89
49%
90-114
14%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 14%
115-139 3.5%
最新
$32,818 交易量
最新
$32,818 交易量
2026-04-15
少於40條
$3,688 交易量
2%
40-64
$760 交易量
29%
65-89
$2,257 交易量
49%
90-114
$2,558 交易量
14%
115-139
$1,172 交易量
3%
140-164
$1,003 交易量
1%
165-189
$3,398 交易量
<1%
190-214
$5,178 交易量
1%
215-239
$8,174 交易量
<1%
240+
$4,630 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate tweet volume for Elon Musk over April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability for 65-89 posts, reflecting his recent subdued pace of around 16-25 posts per day tracked via X analytics as of April 11, including commentary on Tesla Semi innovations, Starship updates, Starlink successes, and cultural flashpoints like urban crime and political rhetoric. This positions 40-64 (28.5%) as the next likely bin, aligning with historical weekday averages near 30 amid variable bursts tied to SpaceX milestones or viral controversies. Lower tails like under 40 (2.3%) or 240+ (0.3%) account for weekend lulls or unexpected news catalysts, underscoring the crowd wisdom in anticipating his unpredictable social media cadence without major events confirmed on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$32,818結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate tweet volume for Elon Musk over April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability for 65-89 posts, reflecting his recent subdued pace of around 16-25 posts per day tracked via X analytics as of April 11, including commentary on Tesla Semi innovations, Starship updates, Starlink successes, and cultural flashpoints like urban crime and political rhetoric. This positions 40-64 (28.5%) as the next likely bin, aligning with historical weekday averages near 30 amid variable bursts tied to SpaceX milestones or viral controversies. Lower tails like under 40 (2.3%) or 240+ (0.3%) account for weekend lulls or unexpected news catalysts, underscoring the crowd wisdom in anticipating his unpredictable social media cadence without major events confirmed on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$32,818結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate tweet volume for Elon Musk over April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability for 65-89 posts, reflecting his recent subdued pace of around 16-25 posts per day tracked via X analytics as of April 11, including commentary on Tesla Semi innovations, Starship updates, Starlink successes, and cultural flashpoints like urban crime and political rhetoric. This positions 40-64 (28.5%) as the next likely bin, aligning with historical weekday averages near 30 amid variable bursts tied to SpaceX milestones or viral controversies. Lower tails like under 40 (2.3%) or 240+ (0.3%) account for weekend lulls or unexpected news catalysts, underscoring the crowd wisdom in anticipating his unpredictable social media cadence without major events confirmed on the horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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