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政治·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？

Market icon
政治·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？

4月 14

4月 17

4月 21

4月 14

4月 17

4月 21

5-9 59%

10-14 43%

60+ 43%

15-19 42%

Polymarket
最新

5-9 59%

10-14 43%

60+ 43%

15-19 42%

Polymarket
最新

<5

$0 交易量

41%

5-9

$0 交易量

59%

10-14

$0 交易量

43%

15-19

$0 交易量

42%

20-24

$0 交易量

42%

25-29

$0 交易量

41%

30-34

$0 交易量

40%

35-39

$6 交易量

41%

40-44

$37 交易量

47%

45-49

$36 交易量

2%

50-54

$36 交易量

2%

55-59

$36 交易量

2%

60+

$27 交易量

43%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$178
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$178
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5-9" at 59%, followed by "40-44" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？" is "5-9" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-44" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年4月14日至4月21日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.