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政治·Tweet Markets

紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？

Market icon
政治·Tweet Markets

紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？

4月 7

4月 10

4月 14

4月 7

4月 10

4月 14

20-39 30%

小於20 28%

40-59 26%

60-79 26%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 30%

小於20 28%

40-59 26%

60-79 26%

Polymarket
最新

小於20

$0 交易量

28%

20-39

$0 交易量

30%

40-59

$0 交易量

26%

60-79

$0 交易量

26%

80-99

$0 交易量

26%

100-119

$0 交易量

6%

120-139

$30 交易量

5%

140-159

$30 交易量

6%

160-179

$30 交易量

6%

180-199

$30 交易量

6%

200+

$30 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posts from April 7-14 reflects tight clustering around 20-59 posts, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 20-40 amid variable activity driven by policy announcements, holidays, and crises like the Brooklyn baby shooting on April 1. In the past week, posts covered Good Friday observances, Passover greetings, a Cardi B childcare jingle contest, UN meetings, and the Hayes Innovation Prize, maintaining 2-4 daily amid budget sparring with City Council Speaker Julie Menin. The race stays close due to this steady baseline punctuated by event spikes, such as ongoing Municipal Madness voting. Separation could arise from his planned April 12 100-days rally in Queens, likely boosting promotional updates, or a quieter period yielding under 20.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$152
結束日期
2026-04-14
市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's X posts from April 7-14 reflects tight clustering around 20-59 posts, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 20-40 amid variable activity driven by policy announcements, holidays, and crises like the Brooklyn baby shooting on April 1. In the past week, posts covered Good Friday observances, Passover greetings, a Cardi B childcare jingle contest, UN meetings, and the Hayes Innovation Prize, maintaining 2-4 daily amid budget sparring with City Council Speaker Julie Menin. The race stays close due to this steady baseline punctuated by event spikes, such as ongoing Municipal Madness voting. Separation could arise from his planned April 12 100-days rally in Queens, likely boosting promotional updates, or a quieter period yielding under 20.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$152
結束日期
2026-04-14
市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 30%, followed by "小於20" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？" is "20-39" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "小於20" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年4月7日至4月14日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.