Trader consensus holds "Yes" at 50% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7, balancing forecasts of continued severe weather risks against uncertain impacts on that specific Monday. Recent FAA reports highlight thunderstorms affecting hubs like Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, and Memphis today, while Easter weekend outlooks warn of peak storms Saturday in the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley, with heavy snow and ice in the northern Plains and Midwest through April 4—potentially causing ripple delays into next week amid high spring break and post-holiday volumes. Recent precedents like 261 cancellations on April 1 underscore weather sensitivity, but no FAA ground stops or airline waivers are announced for April 7 yet. Updated NOAA severe thunderstorm or tornado outlooks for Midwest/Southeast flight corridors could push odds higher; clearer models or absent disruptions would favor "No."
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-04-07
最新
最新
2026-04-07
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus holds "Yes" at 50% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7, balancing forecasts of continued severe weather risks against uncertain impacts on that specific Monday. Recent FAA reports highlight thunderstorms affecting hubs like Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, and Memphis today, while Easter weekend outlooks warn of peak storms Saturday in the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley, with heavy snow and ice in the northern Plains and Midwest through April 4—potentially causing ripple delays into next week amid high spring break and post-holiday volumes. Recent precedents like 261 cancellations on April 1 underscore weather sensitivity, but no FAA ground stops or airline waivers are announced for April 7 yet. Updated NOAA severe thunderstorm or tornado outlooks for Midwest/Southeast flight corridors could push odds higher; clearer models or absent disruptions would favor "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus holds "Yes" at 50% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7, balancing forecasts of continued severe weather risks against uncertain impacts on that specific Monday. Recent FAA reports highlight thunderstorms affecting hubs like Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, and Memphis today, while Easter weekend outlooks warn of peak storms Saturday in the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley, with heavy snow and ice in the northern Plains and Midwest through April 4—potentially causing ripple delays into next week amid high spring break and post-holiday volumes. Recent precedents like 261 cancellations on April 1 underscore weather sensitivity, but no FAA ground stops or airline waivers are announced for April 7 yet. Updated NOAA severe thunderstorm or tornado outlooks for Midwest/Southeast flight corridors could push odds higher; clearer models or absent disruptions would favor "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ETTrader consensus holds "Yes" at 50% for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 7, balancing forecasts of continued severe weather risks against uncertain impacts on that specific Monday. Recent FAA reports highlight thunderstorms affecting hubs like Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, and Memphis today, while Easter weekend outlooks warn of peak storms Saturday in the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley, with heavy snow and ice in the northern Plains and Midwest through April 4—potentially causing ripple delays into next week amid high spring break and post-holiday volumes. Recent precedents like 261 cancellations on April 1 underscore weather sensitivity, but no FAA ground stops or airline waivers are announced for April 7 yet. Updated NOAA severe thunderstorm or tornado outlooks for Midwest/Southeast flight corridors could push odds higher; clearer models or absent disruptions would favor "No."
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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