Skip to main content
icon for Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?

Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?

icon for Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?

Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?

77% 概率
Polymarket
最新

77% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).Santiago Matías, known professionally as Alofoke, publicly announced in late July 2026 that he would launch his own political party rather than accept a presidential bid from the PRSC or other groups, explicitly targeting the 2028 general elections. The media entrepreneur and urban-music tastemaker immediately began the signature-gathering process required for official recognition by the Junta Central Electoral, a step that aligns with the June 30, 2027, deadline for new parties. His high public profile, established media platform, and documented political interest have fueled trader confidence that the formal registration will be completed on schedule, producing the current 77% market-implied probability for “Yes.” Key upcoming catalysts include documented progress on signatures and any early JCE filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership.

Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
交易量
$1,317
结束日期
2027-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).Santiago Matías, known professionally as Alofoke, publicly announced in late July 2026 that he would launch his own political party rather than accept a presidential bid from the PRSC or other groups, explicitly targeting the 2028 general elections. The media entrepreneur and urban-music tastemaker immediately began the signature-gathering process required for official recognition by the Junta Central Electoral, a step that aligns with the June 30, 2027, deadline for new parties. His high public profile, established media platform, and documented political interest have fueled trader confidence that the formal registration will be completed on schedule, producing the current 77% market-implied probability for “Yes.” Key upcoming catalysts include documented progress on signatures and any early JCE filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership.

Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
交易量
$1,317
结束日期
2027-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Alofoke会在2027年6月30日前在多米尼加共和国组建政党吗?",概率为 77%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 6, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?"的当前领先者是"Alofoke会在2027年6月30日前在多米尼加共和国组建政党吗?",概率为 77%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Alofoke在2027年6月30日前在DR举办派对?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。