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icon for 锁骨被… ?

锁骨被… ?

icon for 锁骨被… ?

锁骨被… ?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$1,495 交易量

Polymarket

9月25日

$1,102 交易量

4%

9月30日

$393 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer whose real name is Braden Peters, faces fresh legal pressure from Massachusetts charges filed September 8 for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor tied to a May 2025 incident. These allegations, filed via summons with an October 14 arraignment, represent the latest in a string of 2026 arrests and investigations including misdemeanor battery, conspiracy, fake ID and drug possession, reckless firearm discharge, and wildlife violations. Trader sentiment on arrest-related markets reflects the pattern of rapid escalation from viral incidents to warrants, though outcomes remain uncertain given plea deals in prior cases, unserved charges, and the high bar for felony convictions in entertainment-adjacent creator cases. Upcoming court dates and any new public statements could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,495
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer whose real name is Braden Peters, faces fresh legal pressure from Massachusetts charges filed September 8 for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor tied to a May 2025 incident. These allegations, filed via summons with an October 14 arraignment, represent the latest in a string of 2026 arrests and investigations including misdemeanor battery, conspiracy, fake ID and drug possession, reckless firearm discharge, and wildlife violations. Trader sentiment on arrest-related markets reflects the pattern of rapid escalation from viral incidents to warrants, though outcomes remain uncertain given plea deals in prior cases, unserved charges, and the high bar for felony convictions in entertainment-adjacent creator cases. Upcoming court dates and any new public statements could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,495
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

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常见问题

"锁骨被… ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"9月30日",概率为 12%,其次是"9月25日",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"锁骨被… ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"锁骨被… ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"锁骨被… ?"的当前领先者是"9月30日",概率为 12%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。紧随其后的结果是"9月25日",概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"锁骨被… ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。