Justice Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous June NPR report that briefly fueled rumors at the end of the Supreme Court’s session. No official announcement or confirmation has come from Alito or the Court. He has hired a full roster of law clerks for the October 2026 term, a standard signal of continued service through at least mid-2027. With the current term underway and Senate confirmation dynamics favoring prompt action on vacancies, traders assign very low probability to an announcement by late September 2026. Any shift would require a sudden change in Alito’s public position or health-related developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$3,610,128 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
6%
2027年6月30日
35%
$3,610,128 交易量
9月30日
$1,101,405 交易量
1%
12月31日
$857,921 交易量
6%
2027年6月30日
$49,137 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous June NPR report that briefly fueled rumors at the end of the Supreme Court’s session. No official announcement or confirmation has come from Alito or the Court. He has hired a full roster of law clerks for the October 2026 term, a standard signal of continued service through at least mid-2027. With the current term underway and Senate confirmation dynamics favoring prompt action on vacancies, traders assign very low probability to an announcement by late September 2026. Any shift would require a sudden change in Alito’s public position or health-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$3,610,128结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous June NPR report that briefly fueled rumors at the end of the Supreme Court’s session. No official announcement or confirmation has come from Alito or the Court. He has hired a full roster of law clerks for the October 2026 term, a standard signal of continued service through at least mid-2027. With the current term underway and Senate confirmation dynamics favoring prompt action on vacancies, traders assign very low probability to an announcement by late September 2026. Any shift would require a sudden change in Alito’s public position or health-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$3,610,128结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETJustice Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous June NPR report that briefly fueled rumors at the end of the Supreme Court’s session. No official announcement or confirmation has come from Alito or the Court. He has hired a full roster of law clerks for the October 2026 term, a standard signal of continued service through at least mid-2027. With the current term underway and Senate confirmation dynamics favoring prompt action on vacancies, traders assign very low probability to an announcement by late September 2026. Any shift would require a sudden change in Alito’s public position or health-related developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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