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icon for 内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?

内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?

icon for 内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?

内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?

22% 概率
Polymarket
最新

22% 概率
Polymarket
最新
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu’s corruption trial, involving charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust across three cases dating to his 2020 indictment, continues without a verdict as of September 2026. Judges have twice signaled serious evidentiary weaknesses in the sole bribery allegation tied to Case 4000, reiterating in June after Netanyahu’s 98 days of testimony that prosecutors should consider dropping it while leaving lesser counts intact. The defense has since pressed forward with additional witnesses, including a recent request to call former Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit shortly before scheduled elections. These developments, alongside the multi-year timeline, procedural delays, and Netanyahu’s political position, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% probability assigned to no conviction.

Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65
结束日期
2028-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu’s corruption trial, involving charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust across three cases dating to his 2020 indictment, continues without a verdict as of September 2026. Judges have twice signaled serious evidentiary weaknesses in the sole bribery allegation tied to Case 4000, reiterating in June after Netanyahu’s 98 days of testimony that prosecutors should consider dropping it while leaving lesser counts intact. The defense has since pressed forward with additional witnesses, including a recent request to call former Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit shortly before scheduled elections. These developments, alongside the multi-year timeline, procedural delays, and Netanyahu’s political position, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% probability assigned to no conviction.

Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65
结束日期
2028-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 10:32 AM ET

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"内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"内塔尼亚胡在腐败案中被定罪了吗?",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 22¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 22%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

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"内塔尼亚胡在腐败审判中被定罪?"的当前领先者是"内塔尼亚胡在腐败案中被定罪了吗?",概率为 22%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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