This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
Israel, Lebanon, and the US sign trilateral framework agreement for peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 26%17%
After intensive US-mediated talks, Israel and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement with the US aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and paving the way for normalization under the Abraham Accords umbrella. This development raised market hopes for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
Lebanon and Israel sign landmark framework agreement aiming for normalization and disarmament of Hezbollah
Lebanon jumps to 25%11%
Lebanon and Israel signed a trilateral framework agreement brokered by the US, aiming to end conflict and normalize relations, which raised market hopes for Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords despite internal opposition and Hezbollah's resistance.
Jun 26 2026
U.S., Israel, and Lebanon sign trilateral framework agreement toward peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 27%18%
The United States brokered a trilateral framework agreement with Israel and Lebanon aiming to end the state of war, disarm Hezbollah, restore Lebanese sovereignty, and pave the way for normalization of relations. This historic agreement marked a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords framework, boosting market confidence for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
U.S.-Israel-Lebanon Trilateral Framework Agreement signed
Lebanon plunges to 10%16%
The United States, Israel, and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and establishing peaceful relations, a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords.
Jun 26 2026
Israel and Lebanon Sign Landmark Trilateral Framework Agreement
Lebanon drops to 10%8%
The United States, Israel, and Lebanon signed a landmark Trilateral Framework Agreement in Washington, establishing a roadmap for Hezbollah's disarmament and eventual normalization.
May 26 2026
Pakistan rejects Trump’s call to join Abraham Accords, citing ideological opposition
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif publicly reaffirmed Pakistan's refusal to normalize relations with Israel or join the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological principles and support for Palestine, causing a sharp drop in Pakistan's market price.
May 26 2026
Pakistan firmly rejects joining Abraham Accords after US pressure
Pakistan plunges to 7%43%
Pakistan's government publicly rejected the possibility of joining the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological conflicts and linking normalization to a comprehensive resolution of the Palestinian issue. This rejection dampened market expectations for Pakistan's accession.
May 25 2026
President Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Egypt, and Jordan to join Abraham Accords
President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader peace deal linked to Iran negotiations, but no immediate formal signings followed, reflecting diplomatic challenges.
May 25 2026
President Trump demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan join Abraham Accords as part of Iran peace deal
President Donald Trump publicly called on six Muslim-majority countries to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any peace agreement with Iran, raising market attention and causing price volatility across affected countries.
May 25 2026
Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
Former President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader deal tied to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public call increased market attention but did not result in immediate formal signings, reflecting diplomatic resistance and political obstacles.
May 25 2026
Trump Demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, and Jordan Simultaneously Sign Accords
Qatar plunges to 14%36%
President Trump issued a high-stakes directive calling on several Middle Eastern nations to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any regional peace deal with Iran.
May 25 2026
Pakistan Rejects Trump's Push to Join Abraham Accords
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif vehemently rejected US President Donald Trump's demand that Pakistan simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as part of wider regional peace negotiations.
Apr 27 2026
Israeli President Herzog visits Azerbaijan, signaling closer ties and potential Abraham Accords expansion
Azerbaijan jumps to 26%6%
Israeli President Isaac Herzog's visit to Azerbaijan and public statements about expanding the Abraham Accords to include Azerbaijan raised market interest, though no formal agreement was signed, contributing to price fluctuations.
Apr 17 2026
Israeli PM Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon rises to 18%4%
Following a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested that Lebanon could potentially join the Abraham Accords, indicating a possible diplomatic opening and increasing market interest in Lebanon's accession.
Apr 17 2026
Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon plunges to 10%16%
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested Lebanon could join the Abraham Accords following a 10-day ceasefire, indicating possible diplomatic progress despite ongoing challenges.
Mar 14 2026
Mediated talks explore path to bring Lebanon into Abraham Accords
Lebanon rises to 13%2%
US and French mediation facilitated talks between Israel and Lebanon aiming to disarm Hezbollah and bring Lebanon into the Abraham Accords, signaling potential future normalization.
Jan 10 2026
Somaliland opens embassy in Jerusalem, strengthening ties with Israel
Somaliland plunges to 56%16%
Somaliland inaugurated its embassy in Jerusalem and pledged to join the Abraham Accords, reinforcing diplomatic normalization and cooperation with Israel.
Jan 7 2026
Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets Trump, discusses potential normalization
Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa met with US President Donald Trump and indicated that while Syria would not enter talks to join the Abraham Accords immediately, US facilitation might enable future negotiations.
Jan 7 2026
Israel and Syria establish joint communication mechanism after US-mediated talks
Syria plunges to 16%34%
Israel and Syria agreed to set up a joint communication cell aimed at sharing intelligence and coordinating military de-escalation, signaling a soft normalization arrangement. However, Syria ruled out formal talks to join the Abraham Accords at this time, limiting market optimism.
Jan 6 2026
US State Department announces joint fusion mechanism between Israel and Syria
Syria drops to 32%7%
Israel and Syria established a joint fusion mechanism as a form of soft normalization, signaling progress toward normalization talks under the Abraham Accords framework, though no formal signing occurred, keeping market expectations low.
Dec 26 2025
Israel formally recognizes Somaliland as independent state; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland's independence, signing a joint declaration with Somaliland's president. Somaliland publicly committed to joining the Abraham Accords, signaling a new member and raising market optimism for Somaliland's accession.
Dec 26 2025
Israel recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as independent, and Somaliland pledged to join the Abraham Accords, signaling a new potential member and causing market optimism.
Dec 26 2025
Israel Formally Recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland Pledges to Join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state, prompting Somaliland to announce its intention to join the Abraham Accords.
Nov 10 2025
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa Rules Out Joining Abraham Accords
Syria plunges to 32%18%
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa ruled out immediate direct talks or joining the Abraham Accords, citing Israel's occupation of the Golan Heights and distinguishing Syria's border situation from other signatories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
Israel, Lebanon, and the US sign trilateral framework agreement for peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 26%17%
After intensive US-mediated talks, Israel and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement with the US aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and paving the way for normalization under the Abraham Accords umbrella. This development raised market hopes for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
Lebanon and Israel sign landmark framework agreement aiming for normalization and disarmament of Hezbollah
Lebanon jumps to 25%11%
Lebanon and Israel signed a trilateral framework agreement brokered by the US, aiming to end conflict and normalize relations, which raised market hopes for Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords despite internal opposition and Hezbollah's resistance.
Jun 26 2026
U.S., Israel, and Lebanon sign trilateral framework agreement toward peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 27%18%
The United States brokered a trilateral framework agreement with Israel and Lebanon aiming to end the state of war, disarm Hezbollah, restore Lebanese sovereignty, and pave the way for normalization of relations. This historic agreement marked a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords framework, boosting market confidence for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
U.S.-Israel-Lebanon Trilateral Framework Agreement signed
Lebanon plunges to 10%16%
The United States, Israel, and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and establishing peaceful relations, a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords.
Jun 26 2026
Israel and Lebanon Sign Landmark Trilateral Framework Agreement
Lebanon drops to 10%8%
The United States, Israel, and Lebanon signed a landmark Trilateral Framework Agreement in Washington, establishing a roadmap for Hezbollah's disarmament and eventual normalization.
May 26 2026
Pakistan rejects Trump’s call to join Abraham Accords, citing ideological opposition
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif publicly reaffirmed Pakistan's refusal to normalize relations with Israel or join the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological principles and support for Palestine, causing a sharp drop in Pakistan's market price.
May 26 2026
Pakistan firmly rejects joining Abraham Accords after US pressure
Pakistan plunges to 7%43%
Pakistan's government publicly rejected the possibility of joining the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological conflicts and linking normalization to a comprehensive resolution of the Palestinian issue. This rejection dampened market expectations for Pakistan's accession.
May 25 2026
President Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Egypt, and Jordan to join Abraham Accords
President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader peace deal linked to Iran negotiations, but no immediate formal signings followed, reflecting diplomatic challenges.
May 25 2026
President Trump demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan join Abraham Accords as part of Iran peace deal
President Donald Trump publicly called on six Muslim-majority countries to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any peace agreement with Iran, raising market attention and causing price volatility across affected countries.
May 25 2026
Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
Former President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader deal tied to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public call increased market attention but did not result in immediate formal signings, reflecting diplomatic resistance and political obstacles.
May 25 2026
Trump Demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, and Jordan Simultaneously Sign Accords
Qatar plunges to 14%36%
President Trump issued a high-stakes directive calling on several Middle Eastern nations to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any regional peace deal with Iran.
May 25 2026
Pakistan Rejects Trump's Push to Join Abraham Accords
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif vehemently rejected US President Donald Trump's demand that Pakistan simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as part of wider regional peace negotiations.
Apr 27 2026
Israeli President Herzog visits Azerbaijan, signaling closer ties and potential Abraham Accords expansion
Azerbaijan jumps to 26%6%
Israeli President Isaac Herzog's visit to Azerbaijan and public statements about expanding the Abraham Accords to include Azerbaijan raised market interest, though no formal agreement was signed, contributing to price fluctuations.
Apr 17 2026
Israeli PM Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon rises to 18%4%
Following a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested that Lebanon could potentially join the Abraham Accords, indicating a possible diplomatic opening and increasing market interest in Lebanon's accession.
Apr 17 2026
Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon plunges to 10%16%
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested Lebanon could join the Abraham Accords following a 10-day ceasefire, indicating possible diplomatic progress despite ongoing challenges.
Mar 14 2026
Mediated talks explore path to bring Lebanon into Abraham Accords
Lebanon rises to 13%2%
US and French mediation facilitated talks between Israel and Lebanon aiming to disarm Hezbollah and bring Lebanon into the Abraham Accords, signaling potential future normalization.
Jan 10 2026
Somaliland opens embassy in Jerusalem, strengthening ties with Israel
Somaliland plunges to 56%16%
Somaliland inaugurated its embassy in Jerusalem and pledged to join the Abraham Accords, reinforcing diplomatic normalization and cooperation with Israel.
Jan 7 2026
Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets Trump, discusses potential normalization
Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa met with US President Donald Trump and indicated that while Syria would not enter talks to join the Abraham Accords immediately, US facilitation might enable future negotiations.
Jan 7 2026
Israel and Syria establish joint communication mechanism after US-mediated talks
Syria plunges to 16%34%
Israel and Syria agreed to set up a joint communication cell aimed at sharing intelligence and coordinating military de-escalation, signaling a soft normalization arrangement. However, Syria ruled out formal talks to join the Abraham Accords at this time, limiting market optimism.
Jan 6 2026
US State Department announces joint fusion mechanism between Israel and Syria
Syria drops to 32%7%
Israel and Syria established a joint fusion mechanism as a form of soft normalization, signaling progress toward normalization talks under the Abraham Accords framework, though no formal signing occurred, keeping market expectations low.
Dec 26 2025
Israel formally recognizes Somaliland as independent state; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland's independence, signing a joint declaration with Somaliland's president. Somaliland publicly committed to joining the Abraham Accords, signaling a new member and raising market optimism for Somaliland's accession.
Dec 26 2025
Israel recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as independent, and Somaliland pledged to join the Abraham Accords, signaling a new potential member and causing market optimism.
Dec 26 2025
Israel Formally Recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland Pledges to Join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state, prompting Somaliland to announce its intention to join the Abraham Accords.
Nov 10 2025
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa Rules Out Joining Abraham Accords
Syria plunges to 32%18%
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa ruled out immediate direct talks or joining the Abraham Accords, citing Israel's occupation of the Golan Heights and distinguishing Syria's border situation from other signatories.
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警惕外部链接哦。
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