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icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

$1,612,034 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,612,034 交易量

Polymarket

黎巴嫩

$76,777 交易量

9%

阿塞拜疆

$172,136 交易量

8%

索马里兰

$116,259 交易量

8%

沙特阿拉伯

$316,789 交易量

8%

Egypt

$7,393 交易量

7%

叙利亚

$164,221 交易量

7%

Qatar

$8,773 交易量

6%

Jordan

$9,615 交易量

6%

科威特

$63,746 交易量

6%

阿曼

$179,605 交易量

4%

Pakistan

$9,051 交易量

4%

Turkey

$487,670 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the primary focus for potential new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027, driven by repeated U.S. diplomatic pressure under President Trump linking normalization to nuclear cooperation, Iran-related deals, and regional security architecture. Kazakhstan formally acceded in November 2025 as the first expansion since 2020, though its move was largely symbolic given preexisting ties with Israel. Saudi statements continue to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, while Riyadh has pursued parallel defense pacts with Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt, signaling preference for alternative alignments amid post-conflict regional dynamics. Other candidates such as Indonesia, Oman, or Qatar face similar political and domestic hurdles, with no confirmed bilateral breakthroughs reported since Kazakhstan’s accession. Upcoming U.S.-led negotiations tied to Iran ceasefire implementation or Palestinian issues could influence timelines, though structural barriers including public opposition in Arab states limit near-term prospects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,612,034
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the primary focus for potential new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027, driven by repeated U.S. diplomatic pressure under President Trump linking normalization to nuclear cooperation, Iran-related deals, and regional security architecture. Kazakhstan formally acceded in November 2025 as the first expansion since 2020, though its move was largely symbolic given preexisting ties with Israel. Saudi statements continue to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, while Riyadh has pursued parallel defense pacts with Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt, signaling preference for alternative alignments amid post-conflict regional dynamics. Other candidates such as Indonesia, Oman, or Qatar face similar political and domestic hurdles, with no confirmed bilateral breakthroughs reported since Kazakhstan’s accession. Upcoming U.S.-led negotiations tied to Iran ceasefire implementation or Palestinian issues could influence timelines, though structural barriers including public opposition in Arab states limit near-term prospects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,612,034
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黎巴嫩",概率为 9%,其次是"阿塞拜疆",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 9¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 9%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"已产生 $1.6 million 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"的当前领先者是"黎巴嫩",仅有 9%,"阿塞拜疆"紧随其后为 8%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。