The extended timeline to a June 2027 trial and pending pretrial motions explain trader expectations that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on every count. Defense counsel filed a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, arguing that acts alleged in the four-count narcoterrorism and cocaine-trafficking indictment occurred in his official capacity as Venezuela’s head of state. Oral arguments on those motions are scheduled for November 2026, and additional jurisdictional and statutory challenges remain. With the case still in early pretrial proceedings, historical patterns of lengthy litigation involving foreign officials and the high evidentiary threshold for proving all conspiracy elements further support the current market assessment that full conviction on every charge is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
22% 概率
$133,111 交易量
$133,111 交易量
2027-12-30
是
22% 概率
$133,111 交易量
$133,111 交易量
2027-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline to a June 2027 trial and pending pretrial motions explain trader expectations that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on every count. Defense counsel filed a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, arguing that acts alleged in the four-count narcoterrorism and cocaine-trafficking indictment occurred in his official capacity as Venezuela’s head of state. Oral arguments on those motions are scheduled for November 2026, and additional jurisdictional and statutory challenges remain. With the case still in early pretrial proceedings, historical patterns of lengthy litigation involving foreign officials and the high evidentiary threshold for proving all conspiracy elements further support the current market assessment that full conviction on every charge is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$133,111结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended timeline to a June 2027 trial and pending pretrial motions explain trader expectations that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on every count. Defense counsel filed a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, arguing that acts alleged in the four-count narcoterrorism and cocaine-trafficking indictment occurred in his official capacity as Venezuela’s head of state. Oral arguments on those motions are scheduled for November 2026, and additional jurisdictional and statutory challenges remain. With the case still in early pretrial proceedings, historical patterns of lengthy litigation involving foreign officials and the high evidentiary threshold for proving all conspiracy elements further support the current market assessment that full conviction on every charge is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,111结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETThe extended timeline to a June 2027 trial and pending pretrial motions explain trader expectations that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on every count. Defense counsel filed a September 2026 motion seeking dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, arguing that acts alleged in the four-count narcoterrorism and cocaine-trafficking indictment occurred in his official capacity as Venezuela’s head of state. Oral arguments on those motions are scheduled for November 2026, and additional jurisdictional and statutory challenges remain. With the case still in early pretrial proceedings, historical patterns of lengthy litigation involving foreign officials and the high evidentiary threshold for proving all conspiracy elements further support the current market assessment that full conviction on every charge is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题